Fifa International · resolved market
Spain leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9022e370b79a3e36e2b36bad8300bad7c339af6d6190d1e9163d8cfa2424d96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $683,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $676,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $683,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 253,365$183,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,192.4 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 33c | 119,999$39,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,599.72 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 36,573$7,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,019.02 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 36,518$11,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,001.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 32,939$22,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,604 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 31c | 24,230$7,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,511.77 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 20,958$14,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.76 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 19,466$13,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,193.59 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 69c | 17,852$12,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,534.23 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 13,554$9,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.14 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…17bcbacked Yes | 32c | 12,781$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…9dd5backed Yes | 32c | 12,193$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 33c | 10,786$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.23 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Yes | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…2511backed Yes | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 32c | 9,375$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…419bbacked No | 68c | 7,758$5,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 7,753$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.59 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 14c | 7,337$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 28c | 7,200$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…dd64backed Yes | 35c | 6,998$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 22c | 6,923$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.87 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c8dfbacked Yes | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 66c | 6,199$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.78 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 32c | 6,116$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.29 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 67c | 6,000$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.96 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 67c | 5,547$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.69 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…ad58backed Yes | 33c | 5,425$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 69c | 5,032$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.73 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 67c | 4,897$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.74 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 79c | 4,763$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.75 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 68c | 4,589$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.39 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 33c | 4,532$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.36 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes | 34c | 4,412$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 17c | 4,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 3,297$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.36 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 68c | 3,233$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.58 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 34c | 2,999$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.66 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 67c | 2,980$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.15 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 32c | 2,923$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.39 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…449cbacked Yes | 33c | 2,904$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.32 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…addbbacked Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 2,463$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.67 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…36dbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,429$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 33c | 2,296$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 70c | 2,149$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.95 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c71…bdf6backed Yes | 33c | 2,121$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Yes | 31c | 2,090$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 66c | 2,000$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487d…03f5backed Yes | 32c | 1,944$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 1,857$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.06 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 1,822$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.32 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…e8cbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,819$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 67c | 1,812$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.07 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 21c | 1,800$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.15 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 67c | 1,734$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.17 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 1,604$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.22 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 68c | 1,501$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.92 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9e…b594backed No | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 69c | 1,471$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.26 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…82d1backed Yes | 19c | 1,367$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 28c | 1,336$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.29 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,300$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 20c | 1,288$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.72 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 66c | 1,255$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.73 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…b75cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…e264backed Yes | 20c | 1,076$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 33c | 1,063$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.63 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 2c | 1,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…26efbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…a934backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…bb87backed Yes | 32c | 928.5$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.12 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 6c | 900$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 898.63$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.3 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 32c | 881.25$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 31c | 866.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…9f74backed Yes | 10c | 843.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 67c | 799.96$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 22c | 728.24$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.54 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…1e05backed Yes | 14c | 727.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 723.93$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d2…c66bbacked Yes | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…bee9backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 701.71$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.3 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 33c | 687.79$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.97 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…fe65backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 67c | 617.91$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.91 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5290…2b6abacked Yes | 33c | 611.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5c…a98ebacked Yes | 31c | 610.74$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.33 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 29c | 588.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.81 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…f81cbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 10.8%10 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 551$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.32 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain leading at halftime?this page
- Argentina leading at halftime?No won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.