Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58599e6667695b6cfbd17cb7f5f7b47d56046ec347ca067a3848ceb5aafb03f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $486,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $570,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 51c | 46,314$23,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,619.99 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…24a6backed Yes | 48c | 42,529$20,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,114.9 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 36,012$14,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,309.27 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 36c | 22,800$8,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,277.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 21,140$15,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.31 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 16,897$8,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,757.85 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 52c | 16,345$8,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.47 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 15,255$7,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,893.32 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked No | 51c | 11,692$5,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,963.02 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 52c | 10,829$5,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,630.95 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 49c | 9,739$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.09 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 48c | 8,400$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.23 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 50c | 6,197$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.34 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 48c | 4,600$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes | 49c | 4,564$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.71 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 2c | 4,260$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 3,586$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.5 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…5e5abacked Yes | 49c | 3,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…d87cbacked Yes | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.33 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 65c | 2,625$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.5 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 23c | 2,452$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.26 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 51c | 2,340$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.54 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…2703backed Yes | 60c | 2,236$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.83 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…ba70backed Yes | 68c | 2,209$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace7…462abacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 49c | 2,061$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.22 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 121 | 23.1%28 W · 93 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 49c | 2,039$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.15 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 26c | 1,828$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.99 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 52c | 1,586$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.95 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…9f54backed No | 52c | 1,545$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…fa8bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,473$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.07 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 24c | 1,403$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.17 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 52c | 1,380$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.69 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes | 49c | 1,264$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,206$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.03 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…f793backed Yes | 49c | 1,204$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.08 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 51c | 1,157$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.2 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 1,077$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.12 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 50c | 1,031$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.96 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…d56fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,025$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ae…815dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…e90dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.83 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c1…4114backed Yes | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…d719backed Yes | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +185.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…0836backed Yes | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…42c4backed Yes | 49c | 926.29$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 68c | 900$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 844$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.6 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d3…b50abacked Yes | 60c | 814.75$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 27c | 799.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.55 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 25c | 793.32$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cd…f463backed Yes | 49c | 780.51$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…d868backed Yes | 65c | 775.95$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5f…4069backed Yes | 52c | 770.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.98 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Yes | 47c | 766$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.98 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 80c | 751.87$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.87 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…74fdbacked Yes | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 271 | 28.4%77 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 52c | 720.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.23 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 701.71$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.19 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Yes | 48c | 620.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.75 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +16.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Yes | 70c | 620.27$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.08 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 583.75$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.87 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Yes | 62c | 577.48$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.48 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 48c | 554.59$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.39 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…aacfbacked Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…7ba4backed Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…a3c3backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 159 | 37.1%59 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…4211backed Yes | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked No | 44c | 474.93$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.18 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 52c | 441$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 52c | 438$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.76 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c4…9c74backed Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b0fdbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…362bbacked Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 49c | 398.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.13 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?this page
- Argentina leading at halftime?No won
- Spain leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.