Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d04ebe823fe301118b061561ee09ad4372118199dc62896c90e9cd4aee0421f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 70,307$13,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,108.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 39,375$30,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,413.04 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…7e2ebacked Yes | 22c | 29,048$6,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,390.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes | 21c | 23,810$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 14c | 22,370$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.62 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 17,929$14,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.73 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 17,810$14,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806.39 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…17bcbacked Yes | 14c | 14,788$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed No | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 22c | 7,450$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…2617backed Yes | 19c | 7,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 78c | 6,977$5,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 79c | 6,659$5,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.48 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.54 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 8c | 4,850$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 22c | 4,805$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.14 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 4,615$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.06 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 78c | 4,393$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.74 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 79c | 4,272$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.12 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fe…3142backed Yes | 22c | 3,792$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 10c | 3,508$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.76 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 79c | 3,322$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.16 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 21c | 3,041$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.61 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,694$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.98 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9e…b594backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…e90dbacked Yes | 21c | 2,362$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…5047backed Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…aecfbacked Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…141dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 11c | 2,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,081$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 79c | 1,772$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.12 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 22c | 1,760$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.29 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 1,684$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.18 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 20c | 1,544$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.77 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.96 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 10.3%9 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…bee9backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af1…79a1backed Yes | 20c | 1,240$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,156$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.73 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…028cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,115$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…f81cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,041$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 93 | 10.8%10 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd596…8685backed Yes | 21c | 1,014$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5290…2b6abacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 1,000$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…82d1backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c2…5d21backed Yes | 19c | 992.37$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…269cbacked Yes | 20c | 975$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…bb98backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 3c | 900$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 6c | 895.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 23.1%28 W · 93 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe0…56eabacked Yes | 16c | 892.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…cad8backed Yes | 21c | 857.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…e264backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 13c | 752.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a89…1239backed Yes | 14c | 730.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…92dbbacked Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…0944backed Yes | 3c | 651.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 636.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 9c | 606.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 78c | 575.42$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528b…7ed5backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…9182backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 80c | 506.25$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…0874backed Yes | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 479.51$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…488abacked Yes | 17c | 467.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…ba73backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 24.5%25 W · 77 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…bb37backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…addbbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…75d0backed Yes | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Yes | 6c | 450$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 20c | 435$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b513backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 21c | 414.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed No | 80c | 399.32$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes | 15c | 390.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 22c | 380$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c7…c049backed Yes | 7c | 378.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…3cfdbacked No | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…a734backed Yes | 15c | 336.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…286fbacked Yes | 18c | 317.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 6c | 316.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina leading at halftime?this page
- Spain leading at halftime?No won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.