TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2668…9555

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8924.7%22 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
France vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Colombia vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$41.5
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$531.43
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.16
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.4
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Australia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT6518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+367.5%+$514.55
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$91.18
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$33.1
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+2,281.6%+$481.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.95
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.49
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.09
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.71
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick3cpaid+306.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$268
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.