TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof Liquid, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$303,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Liquid77c37,367$28,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,630.8322468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Liquid58c17,582$10,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,384.433343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heroic17c13,590$2,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.0830726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Heroic29c12,666$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.771,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Heroic43c12,503$5,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,351.514639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid75c6,422$4,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.761,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Heroic42c6,310$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.0211439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic31c5,292$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.091,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Heroic2c5,191$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5813043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Heroic17c5,047$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.5522129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Heroic42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10036645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic30c4,635$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.061,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Heroic29c4,310$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.6288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…8911backed Heroic24c4,250$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203847.4%18 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid61c4,103$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.844,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Liquid57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72045455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Heroic26c3,889$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.213,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Liquid58c3,734$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.6234559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79be…b605backed Heroic27c3,642$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9756245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd435…fababacked Liquid57c3,180$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Heroic3c3,156$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5625416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic42c2,725$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.542,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59de…e8afbacked Liquid59c2,720$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+120.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Liquid55c2,500$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.4622449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Liquid57c1,880$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.481751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed Heroic16c1,750$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.511838.1%45 W · 73 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd3…6c9abacked Liquid57c1,726$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.011471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+40.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Heroic20c1,691$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.834,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic42c1,573$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.121,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Heroic12c1,500$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.82575.3%3 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic42c1,493$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.4745058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed Liquid61c1,466$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.875347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Liquid55c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.5511843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Heroic13c1,416$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2951942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Heroic4c1,353$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Heroic11c1,258$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Liquid57c1,250$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.575245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Heroic42c1,230$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.4921854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Heroic39c1,060$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.225655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Heroic1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101190.8%1 W · 118 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Heroic31c1,000$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.55,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Heroic38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9937145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Heroic45c983.07$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.1123243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Liquid79c979.06$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.952,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Liquid76c954.55$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22917148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Heroic21c939.44$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6765546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Heroic35c907.97$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.6419659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Heroic14c876.78$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.433174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc790…85b1backed Liquid57c866.32$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.523938.5%15 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic9c809$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.795,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Heroic25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018736.4%68 W · 119 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Heroic33c761.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Liquid60c731.01$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.653,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Heroic17c708.24$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.45543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic35c673.38$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.854,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Heroic15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b1c7backed Liquid56c665.87$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.984551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Heroic38c662$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5617250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked Liquid51c642.33$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.331457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Liquid61c640.67$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.071,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Heroic20c614.62$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.624,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Heroic18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.881,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Heroic43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25832346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed Heroic13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7819142.4%81 W · 110 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Heroic46c584.99$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0914151.8%73 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic41c575.11$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.157,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Liquid57c560$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.835054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Heroic22c554.61$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12027831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Heroic39c542.48$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.341,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed Liquid58c536.96$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5227961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Liquid60c532.44$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4397040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Heroic5c518.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3769624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Heroic17c516.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…8e0abacked Liquid73c509.45$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4411953.8%64 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed Liquid57c506.53$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.8131647.5%150 W · 166 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Heroic23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11519642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed Heroic16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Liquid61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19530155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Liquid56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22050846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed3d…06dcbacked Liquid57c479.95$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.38955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Liquid71c478.54$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.13,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Heroic42c477.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Heroic39c477.01$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0338650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Heroic38c476.04$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.632,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Liquid57c452.97$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9729757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Heroic11c447.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2739970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Heroic14c430.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1932042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Liquid78c426.17$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3891743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Heroic20c421$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.240950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Heroic7c400$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2938312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Heroic50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Heroic13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5278348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Heroic3c389.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed Heroic43c370.49$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.314748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06ca…1d4bbacked Heroic13c367.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492020%4 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Heroic30c364.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Heroic42c359.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.27736.4%28 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Liquid63c350$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.545646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973e…2de5backed Heroic46c348.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic22c337.83$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.346,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.