TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof Liquid, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$290,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$364,818

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Heroic22c18,193$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,050.141,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Liquid64c12,792$8,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,605.2912571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Heroic51c12,288$6,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,266.664639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x252f…8911backed Heroic18c11,663$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.73847.4%18 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Liquid49c11,586$5,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,924.3533343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Liquid60c6,600$3,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.6521655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heroic16c6,116$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.8830726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Liquid48c5,882$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.5934559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Heroic52c5,506$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.69855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Heroic33c4,591$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.641,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Liquid78c4,368$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.471,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic31c4,188$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.974,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6e…b0e0backed Heroic36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Heroic36c2,712$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.9153545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic31c2,709$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.5444957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Liquid71c2,622$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.031,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid72c2,355$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.651,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Heroic36c2,310$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.417139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Liquid72c2,309$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.9887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b6…2c93backed Liquid76c2,086$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.246654.5%36 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Heroic52c1,920$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.451252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Liquid64c1,878$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.6119351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Heroic10c1,773$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9251942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Liquid69c1,737$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4419659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Liquid44c1,591$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.9111843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc790…85b1backed Liquid66c1,518$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.083938.5%15 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ef…9cbabacked Liquid49c1,475$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.41977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x864b…59dfbacked Heroic14c1,455$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.811915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Liquid62c1,424$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.7413371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Liquid73c1,423$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.0788746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Liquid54c1,422$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.6521945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Heroic52c1,262$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.4942651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Heroic36c1,213$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.685444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Heroic17c1,164$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6532832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Heroic47c1,105$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52496545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Heroic5c1,100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid66c1,098$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.364,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Heroic17c1,073$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.414645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed Heroic36c1,028$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3709256.5%52 W · 40 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed Heroic20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011838.1%45 W · 73 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Heroic35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Heroic13c999.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Liquid64c999.99$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Liquid42c950.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.7435953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Liquid63c947.07$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.091650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Heroic39c878.29$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.784,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Liquid79c783.63$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6838868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Heroic7c766.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0241716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Heroic39c750$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2893844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Heroic53c707.98$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.233455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed Heroic12c648.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515132.5%49 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Liquid48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31232732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Heroic59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35432346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Heroic33c594.31$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1972,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c58…f3c7backed Liquid69c583.47$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.472751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Liquid71c527$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.833174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Liquid48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26030155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Liquid64c499.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe9…4a83backed Heroic30c494.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508134.6%28 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…0539backed Heroic24c488.84$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.329137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Liquid76c477.14$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1526075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Liquid64c459$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6511061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02bf…b1c8backed Heroic53c433.08$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.53955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Heroic31c420.52$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.363,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Heroic24c408.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Heroic4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…e804backed Heroic29c379.84$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.155935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Heroic34c371.61$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5918338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Heroic8c370$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Heroic39c364.93$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14114037.9%53 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Heroic33c364.35$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12059343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ca…1d4bbacked Liquid72c363.21$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.72020%4 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Heroic15c361.29$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.512,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0938…4e4cbacked Heroic57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d9…2085backed Heroic36c336.11$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bf…6ebbbacked Heroic30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Heroic12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Heroic63c317.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012043.3%52 W · 68 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Heroic40c317.5$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12798856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Liquid69c314$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.963,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Heroic40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Liquid59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12317345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Heroic35c299.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Liquid68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1221362.4%133 W · 80 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Heroic53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Liquid76c282.38$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7738650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd435…fababacked Heroic36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d49…a319backed Heroic38c265.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005560%33 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Heroic36c264.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.524,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Liquid68c264$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4837440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Liquid75c260.57$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1420059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Liquid69c250.35$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9628254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed Liquid76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607669.7%53 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd9…0c9abacked Heroic29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6787…e54abacked Liquid70c245.15$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.56858.8%40 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Liquid64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3841069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Liquid66c228.98$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8566436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x962d…dc4cbacked Heroic38c217.46$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838151.9%42 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad37…9428backed Liquid69c212.32$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Heroic29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603411.8%4 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.