CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59ef82762e7e66c765f500b5e69215b9c8a54ca5c56ed91d4e791e77fe69f72c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 50c | 7,019$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.64 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 1c | 3,960$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 49c | 2,039$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.21 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.98 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 2c | 1,951$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 3c | 1,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 50c | 839.97$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.97 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 3c | 728.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Under | 50c | 703.56$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.78 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 43c | 520.14$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.33 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Under | 57c | 510.75$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.75 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 42c | 450.25$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.27 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 406.09$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.05 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 51c | 200.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 121.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Over | 13c | 112.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Over | 43c | 109.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 49c | 102.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 50c | 69.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…2489backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 52.8%112 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 50c | 55.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Under | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Over | 48c | 41.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 46c | 39.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 46c | 39.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Over | 55c | 39.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 50c | 38.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…72f5backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…aa80backed Under | 56c | 35.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 53c | 34.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0f79backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 51c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…fdacbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed Over | 48c | 25.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021d…7b07backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Liquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.