TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf331…2489

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT21252.8%112 W · 100 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 212 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.07
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.09
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Counter-Strike: NADE vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 11backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$13.23
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.19
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$35.97
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.57
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.14
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.54
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+159%+$39.95
Showing 25 of 212 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
United States leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.55
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$41.49
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.