CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NADE vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 11
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24fa189fdfca262eaabfd821b6b3631544fd1858c5beace091ef27fe69b96894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NADEof NADE, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Eternal Fire | 57c | 10,548$6,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,041.35 | 437 | 51.7%226 W · 211 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed NADE | 41c | 5,120$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.66 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked NADE | 42c | 4,827$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.45 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…be15backed NADE | 37c | 3,060$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.22 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 2,090$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.55 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NADE | 67c | 1,945$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.77 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked NADE | 38c | 1,636$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.01 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NADE | 39c | 1,516$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.21 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 1,386$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.71 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NADE | 39c | 1,376$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.01 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked NADE | 45c | 983.99$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.66 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…1a34backed NADE | 10c | 963.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.34 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked NADE | 78c | 857$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.54 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 839.87$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.91 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked NADE | 41c | 740.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.61 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed NADE | 44c | 720.54$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.26 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NADE | 40c | 693.93$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.58 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NADE | 35c | 677.46$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.55 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…331dbacked NADE | 58c | 657.53$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NADE | 39c | 609.67$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.23 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 572.08$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.53 | 450 | 65.6%295 W · 155 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Eternal Fire | 27c | 570$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…7457backed NADE | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Eternal Fire | 30c | 499.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 488.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a99…91a9backed NADE | 42c | 409.64$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Eternal Fire | 8c | 333$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed NADE | 38c | 321.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.7 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked NADE | 47c | 283.83$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 253.4$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 237.27$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.88 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked NADE | 46c | 218.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Eternal Fire | 67c | 210.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Eternal Fire | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 163 | 11.7%19 W · 144 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire | 71c | 195.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed NADE | 36c | 194.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed NADE | 50c | 194.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 352 | 44.6%157 W · 195 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 187.79$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…04a5backed NADE | 52c | 173.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 257 | 51.4%132 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed NADE | 40c | 150.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Eternal Fire | 11c | 147.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Eternal Fire | 66c | 144.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Eternal Fire | 63c | 123.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed NADE | 42c | 114.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 107$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 90.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed NADE | 25c | 89.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…6a06backed NADE | 36c | 85.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed NADE | 43c | 83.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed NADE | 56c | 76.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed NADE | 25c | 75.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 185 | 35.1%65 W · 120 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Eternal Fire | 68c | 75.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 234 | 56.8%133 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked NADE | 35c | 71.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 328 | 61.9%203 W · 125 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55b…b164backed NADE | 38c | 69.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eternal Fire | 78c | 60.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed NADE | 40c | 57.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eternal Fire | 63c | 52.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed NADE | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed Eternal Fire | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 42.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 607 | 53.9%327 W · 280 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…8703backed NADE | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dce…5966backed NADE | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…b1d2backed NADE | 47c | 31.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed NADE | 55c | 31.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked NADE | 52c | 30.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed NADE | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 482 | 51.7%249 W · 233 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed NADE | 40c | 26.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028a…2b3ebacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 26.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked NADE | 39c | 25.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…9accbacked Eternal Fire | 78c | 25.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…2489backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 212 | 52.8%112 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Eternal Fire | 66c | 19.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 16.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NADE vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 11this page
- Counter-Strike: NADE vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerNADE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.