Fifa International · resolved market
United States leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x983ca6456a09ea1d5e2729b23ffb941c6112b93021fa72d66d09901315cf0e9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $434,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $451,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 85,479$62,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,619.54 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 31c | 83,808$25,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,983.85 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…1a19backed Yes | 32c | 31,250$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 68c | 29,579$20,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,429.56 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 25,515$6,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,972.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…f24cbacked Yes | 25c | 21,625$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.98 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 20,926$4,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,933.48 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28f5backed Yes | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.99 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 69c | 17,921$12,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,597.33 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 17,115$11,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,472.26 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 68c | 12,335$8,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.92 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 31c | 9,735$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.52 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 32c | 9,504$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.25 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 68c | 9,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 8,806$6,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.56 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 32c | 7,935$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 7,689$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.96 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 69c | 6,983$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.73 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 6,802$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.75 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 6,683$4,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.29 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed No | 69c | 5,793$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 68c | 5,343$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.18 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 32c | 5,156$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed No | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 3c | 3,508$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 68c | 3,400$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 68c | 3,258$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.67 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 30c | 3,249$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.61 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 3,200$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 31c | 3,150$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.5 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.17 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182c…64d3backed Yes | 0c | 2,799$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 2,644$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.45 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 31c | 2,258$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 4c | 2,101$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 1,812$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.56 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 69c | 1,670$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.52 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 68c | 1,478$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.5 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,121$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.6 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 69c | 1,100$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 70c | 1,050$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 947$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 790.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 30c | 772.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked No | 69c | 762.5$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 756.77$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.17 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 68c | 748.5$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.42 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed No | 69c | 747$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.57 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 70c | 743.89$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.17 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 13c | 650$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Yes | 32c | 546.88$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e90…4782backed Yes | 32c | 531.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 10c | 472.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…0b68backed Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 68c | 467.36$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes | 32c | 456.25$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Yes | 32c | 437.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 6c | 434.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 366.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fc…3841backed Yes | 32c | 362.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 68c | 360$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 68c | 330.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…577ebacked Yes | 6c | 326.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 30c | 325.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 31c | 317.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 31c | 316.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…2d9dbacked Yes | 10c | 310.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 15c | 300.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 69c | 299.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 70c | 294$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 70c | 288$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked No | 69c | 274.64$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 32c | 253.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 70c | 240$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 70c | 240$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…6110backed Yes | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States leading at halftime?this page
- Belgium leading at halftime?Yes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.