Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4a08064d9b9a638535d7490ce138bc5e49b58062f8078aaa8874e4b0ac7fb4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 58c | 83,649$48,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,132.79 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 38c | 32,746$12,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,579.15 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 43c | 29,998$12,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,961 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 24,803$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.16 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 42c | 19,679$8,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,269.02 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…1a19backed Yes | 16c | 19,033$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 9,068$5,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.31 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 9,042$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 9,000$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.51 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad5…4990backed No | 59c | 8,899$5,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 8,561$4,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.53 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 43c | 8,081$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.83 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 46c | 6,463$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Yes | 42c | 6,081$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 5,141$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.19 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 5,096$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.36 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 42c | 4,917$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.14 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 4,241$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 6c | 3,427$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed Yes | 42c | 3,400$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…1a2abacked Yes | 18c | 2,828$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 56c | 2,678$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.32 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Yes | 17c | 2,163$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.99 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 41c | 1,900$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,880$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.6 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 1,735$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.3 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 1,642$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.74 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 58c | 1,560$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.36 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 40c | 1,140$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.6 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 30c | 1,116$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.9 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 58c | 1,111$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.62 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 62c | 1,009$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.96 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…798abacked Yes | 40c | 1,005$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 67c | 999.97$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.98 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 996.67$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.53 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 70c | 996.64$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.99 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 961.95$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.42 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 18c | 943.75$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 59c | 845$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.45 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 33c | 802.65$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.53 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Yes | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 10c | 729$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 55c | 725.04$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.27 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 668.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 67c | 650$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.5 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…cce4backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 34c | 577.29$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.91 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d3…b50abacked Yes | 43c | 572.12$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 30c | 561.38$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.48 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 56c | 537.45$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.48 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 57c | 512$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 28c | 504.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 23c | 504.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 20c | 497.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 72c | 496.06$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 27c | 492.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…e963backed Yes | 5c | 488.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 42c | 481.86$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.38 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 78c | 476.51$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 5c | 465.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4e…8413backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 49c | 464$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.74 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…1239backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…cd3ebacked Yes | 44c | 420.45$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54c…7f3cbacked No | 76c | 407.5$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed No | 55c | 365.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 36c | 363.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 21c | 358.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 42c | 352$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Yes | 14c | 346.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 329.57$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 9c | 321.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 20c | 314$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 44c | 311.52$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.07 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 78c | 310$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 56c | 304$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 43c | 299.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.62 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 56c | 287.59$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Yes | 13c | 276.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…23a8backed Yes | 11c | 262.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 68c | 241$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…d38bbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?this page
- Belgium leading at halftime?Yes won
- United States leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.