Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11bc04381925a4aad0c196eee6adda7c741fc86ce297990ea58e0921f3aabc95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 63,397$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,473.84 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 26,299$6,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,405.31 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 72c | 24,113$17,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,833.27 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 75c | 17,119$12,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,839.43 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed No | 73c | 16,356$11,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,939.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 77c | 14,365$11,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.23 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed No | 1c | 10,110$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…14c0backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Yes | 28c | 9,107$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,557.14 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 26c | 8,947$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,601.56 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 71c | 8,396$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.05 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked No | 2c | 7,523$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.47 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 7,268$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.05 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 27c | 7,012$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,118.76 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed No | 14c | 7,003$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 6,849$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 6c | 6,543$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.77 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 6,250$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.93 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 5,968$4,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,403.08 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 3c | 5,897$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.92 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 5,585$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.25 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 4c | 4,405$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 178 | 27.5%49 W · 129 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 76c | 4,116$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.78 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked No | 3c | 3,863$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 11c | 3,504$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.76 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 46c | 2,989$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.52 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 2,727$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.24 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed No | 75c | 2,671$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 50c | 2,254$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 74c | 2,245$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.93 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 2,031$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.89 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed No | 5c | 1,903$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 59c | 1,854$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.43 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 1,771$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.66 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked No | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 16c | 1,647$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.38 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 75c | 1,554$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.1 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked No | 3c | 1,546$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 72c | 1,541$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.4 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.96 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 26c | 1,485$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.7 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 45c | 1,424$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.19 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 5c | 1,421$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 78c | 1,334$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.71 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 68c | 1,312$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.69 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 5c | 1,308$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,296$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.71 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 37c | 1,261$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.21 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 42c | 1,249$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.01 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed No | 3c | 1,033$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 39c | 1,005$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.38 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 17c | 986.82$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 17c | 978.76$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 4c | 939.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 29c | 891.35$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.5 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed No | 18c | 885.8$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 21c | 864.6$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.66 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 18c | 720.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 28c | 704.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.56 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 696.24$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.07 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 16c | 692.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 4c | 679.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 28c | 651.41$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.51 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 14c | 602$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 78c | 562.31$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 550$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.25 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 27c | 512$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.76 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Yes | 78c | 460.53$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 52c | 426$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.74 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 27c | 401.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.51 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 22c | 358$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3c8abacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 25c | 347$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.25 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 347$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 347$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 74c | 344.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.27 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 28c | 343.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.01 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…6150backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 74c | 294$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 77c | 292.13$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 74c | 288$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed No | 32c | 287.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…9ab4backed No | 15c | 282.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 26c | 278.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.47 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium leading at halftime?this page
- United States leading at halftime?No won
- United States vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.