TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59ee…6150

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Boxing at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT5024%12 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morocco to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$406.06
Belgium leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+525%+$262.5
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+249.9%+$749.81
Mexico leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Canada leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+64%+$320.08
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+706.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+706.6%+$2,473.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.