Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8527f51c78081cda676ece91bc17c4efe239da56ef1bb91c10565428ec7933b

Rebuilt 44 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,885 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Yes	19c	10,096$1,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,883.39	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	19c	1,500$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.91	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes	17c	1,500$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.42	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	18c	675.99$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.43	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e6…5a71backed Yes	21c	518.76$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.94	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Yes	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5626…80f0backed Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	1.6%1 W · 61 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No	79c	420.76$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.36	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes	15c	250$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	276	37.7%104 W · 172 L	+15.3wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59ee…6150backed Yes	14c	250$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	50	24%12 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57af…1eadbacked Yes	22c	181.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes	14c	178.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	331	23.6%78 W · 253 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a01…6cffbacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+5.8wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0276…2665backed Yes	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	86	64%55 W · 31 L	+10.5wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	15c	142.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.74	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No	80c	134$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.8	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	239	51.9%124 W · 115 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	375	26.1%98 W · 277 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	224	47.3%106 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…7c71backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	323	12.1%39 W · 284 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb94c…3c05backed Yes	15c	93.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	50	40%20 W · 30 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes	21c	90.48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	97	34%33 W · 64 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d0…8dadbacked Yes	17c	59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	338	47.9%162 W · 176 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b5…5b1ebacked No	80c	25.15$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.03	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed No	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	222	47.7%106 W · 116 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event