Fifa International · resolved market
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6356600bfcda4dc423876eeca1a99b4258a3605d6e8d36f286843374755ce4b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 13c | 872.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 45c | 366.23$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.03 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 47c | 343.01$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.31 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…7745backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…4be6backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…fdf5backed Yes | 66c | 152.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8977…6579backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…3c05backed Yes | 52c | 30.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…76e3backed Yes | 52c | 20.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsthis page
- Antonee Robinson: 1+ shotsNo won
- Antonee Robinson: 3+ shotsNo won
- Brandon Mechele: 3+ shotsNo won
- Brenden Aaronson: 2+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assistsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goalsYes won
- Chris Richards: 3+ shotsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ assistsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ assistsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 3+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 3+ shotsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shotsYes won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ assistsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 2+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 3+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 3+ shotsYes won
- Hans Vanaken: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ shotsYes won
- Malik Tillman: 1+ assistsNo won
- Malik Tillman: 1+ goalsYes won
- Malik Tillman: 2+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsYes won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ shotsYes won
- Romelu Lukaku: 2+ assistsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shotsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goalsNo won
- Sergiño Dest: 1+ assistsNo won
- Sergiño Dest: 1+ goalsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 1+ assistsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 1+ goalsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ assistsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ goalsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ shotsYes won
- Youri Tielemans: 2+ goalsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 2+ shotsYes won
- Youri Tielemans: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.