Fifa International · resolved market
Youri Tielemans: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x566e790f0888a01df536df77bf216f560c8f0caa82f3ab86554a16448e6f70c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 15c | 5,390$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.78 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Yes | 13c | 3,069$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.91 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 12c | 1,058$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…53a1backed Yes | 12c | 913.19$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 11c | 905$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 12c | 809.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…6924backed Yes | 9c | 762.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…625dbacked Yes | 13c | 615.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Yes | 3c | 538$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…23a8backed Yes | 14c | 511.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27e…b0b5backed Yes | 12c | 428.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -84%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 12c | 425$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…5516backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 13c | 182.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Yes | 12c | 167.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 10c | 117$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…7a47backed Yes | 15c | 107.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 107.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Yes | 13c | 105.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8977…6579backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ goalsthis page
- Antonee Robinson: 1+ shotsNo won
- Antonee Robinson: 3+ shotsNo won
- Brandon Mechele: 3+ shotsNo won
- Brenden Aaronson: 2+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assistsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goalsYes won
- Chris Richards: 3+ shotsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ assistsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ assistsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 3+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 3+ shotsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shotsYes won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ assistsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 2+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 3+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 3+ shotsYes won
- Hans Vanaken: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ shotsYes won
- Malik Tillman: 1+ assistsNo won
- Malik Tillman: 1+ goalsYes won
- Malik Tillman: 2+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsYes won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ shotsYes won
- Romelu Lukaku: 2+ assistsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shotsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goalsNo won
- Sergiño Dest: 1+ assistsNo won
- Sergiño Dest: 1+ goalsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 1+ assistsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 1+ goalsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ assistsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ shotsYes won
- Youri Tielemans: 2+ goalsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 2+ shotsYes won
- Youri Tielemans: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.