TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5452…d448backed No72c5,103$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,680.4746464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes28c5,005$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.89440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No74c4,761$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.3416065%104 W · 56 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf511…bfe4backed No80c3,000$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.9114579.3%115 W · 30 L+17.0wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+13.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb21c…3aedbacked No78c2,108$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.116246.8%29 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes13c2,068$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.7411828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No75c1,679$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.2519252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes6c1,600$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5046317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes22c1,507$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.8910537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes29c1,500$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.663,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes29c1,500$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.553,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No57c1,409$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.42,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed No68c1,330$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.144748.9%23 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Yes22c1,136$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.362218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No68c1,067$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.0725352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61a8…e2f5backed Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No10c906.69$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9585550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes10c904.51$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.069247.8%44 W · 48 L+18.5wins+0.20per pick28cpaid+50.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes22c784.39$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes30c543$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.963,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No68c519.98$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.095962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3509552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked No68c499.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.995166.7%34 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No78c499.98$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9831171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4fc…f25abacked Yes32c498.1$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.712245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No67c453.18$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.6139951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes22c426.27$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.4910523.8%25 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No41c402.69$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.22,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Yes34c372.13$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.1311150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes22c340.91$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9155153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9067…8cf5backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.037135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24938924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e6…fa86backed Yes21c276.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1910136.6%37 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No79c267.76$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5325454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No8c257.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.071,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes20c251.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.3616032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e41…cf9cbacked Yes20c244.65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.722317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.111323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.110636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Yes19c229.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6928251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2722643.4%98 W · 128 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c53…2c5ebacked Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a01…6cffbacked Yes21c190.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.486338.1%24 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed Yes16c187.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.53537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes20c178.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3437526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Yes20c175$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14024132.8%79 W · 162 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes22c165.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9925532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No15c161.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.252,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes70c157.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1113268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1743…3d6fbacked Yes19c157.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8911250%56 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked No77c156.96$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8627242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes32c150.22$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1514638.4%56 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes36c140.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7422851.8%118 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked No11c140$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ac7…7b25backed No9c136.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4140%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked No15c135.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214839.6%19 W · 29 L+9.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+126.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8150…f3acbacked Yes23c132.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.236144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1db1…35a9backed Yes23c130.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.432222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes11c125.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.634425%11 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda46…e6e3backed Yes20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005135.3%18 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes15c122.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.991,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8173…c0f0backed No11c121.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No77c121.12$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2714763.9%94 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes21c119.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0533123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes33c118.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.189734%33 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No79c111.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.467458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda54…63d4backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.263740.5%15 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f3…3ffebacked Yes19c102.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.096443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b2…da2dbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806040%24 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed No67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6711841.5%49 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7911846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes19c99.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2316629.5%49 W · 117 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes17c99.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9919823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e68…682abacked Yes21c95.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8610346.6%48 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d36…9c54backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2412517.6%22 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45fe…2423backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.247943%34 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ec…81bebacked No12c93.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9132312.1%39 W · 284 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Yes19c84.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2116344.2%72 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8d…0de5backed Yes21c83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.196046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7461…5cc5backed Yes26c76.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.333435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes20c75.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.51,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…dbbcbacked Yes20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ee…55dfbacked Yes20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No65c74.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.752,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes17c74.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.361,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No64c74.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.437959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa458…24dfbacked Yes21c71.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.436728.4%19 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7e…3b4fbacked Yes22c63.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.642839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be1…68f3backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.611662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Yes26c58.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7978559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2c…b275backed No24c57.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68650%3 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+1,168.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No27c57.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1219862.1%123 W · 75 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19fd…bb13backed Yes20c54.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.997428.4%21 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d75…1104backed Yes21c52.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4016839.9%67 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed No80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c7a…296bbacked Yes33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.59447.9%45 W · 49 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.