TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No70c9,999$6,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.713163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No69c5,320$3,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.9912875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9506737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes30c4,597$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.9636247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes31c3,900$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20931152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c2,556$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.612,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No70c2,100$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.828652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No70c1,406$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.932765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No70c1,079$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.1570750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No70c1,075$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.4139951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No69c999.96$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9916564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x107b…68fbbacked Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No70c496$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.81,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e5…9623backed Yes29c435.02$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12612541.6%52 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes31c350$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.55026%13 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d45…9b63backed No70c327.3$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.191330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b02…083abacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7696…2639backed Yes12c289$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.681618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes30c277$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.683,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No75c257.64$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5351429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x30f8…9a41backed Yes5c248$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4140%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No70c213.55$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0625352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x570b…0bfebacked No71c199.98$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583476.5%26 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes30c176.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.933,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes30c171$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.33,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dff…6743backed Yes31c164.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5134646%159 W · 187 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes32c158.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022851.8%118 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No67c155.59$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4334357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes31c151.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9916016.3%26 W · 134 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed No69c147.96$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2211841.5%49 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb649…e988backed Yes31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455437%20 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.866365.1%41 W · 22 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf58b…51fdbacked Yes30c132.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6812550.4%63 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c04…9715backed Yes30c118.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5980%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes30c117.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521133.2%70 W · 141 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db1…35a9backed Yes31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…4064backed Yes31c103.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211338.1%43 W · 70 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2323838.7%92 W · 146 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.252,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012532.8%41 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032312.1%39 W · 284 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2d…bfcbbacked Yes31c96.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309437.2%35 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e68…682abacked Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010346.6%48 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x218e…95d3backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512236.1%44 W · 78 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x378f…a862backed Yes30c82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.632943.8%144 W · 185 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No70c74.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3425454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No68c72.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3537959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc889…4903backed Yes31c70.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210143.6%44 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd520…0c5fbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011640.5%47 W · 69 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b39…c9d6backed Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1826344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc490…b6debacked Yes26c58.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x279e…8f57backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f2…667ebacked Yes29c46.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.739627.1%26 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c42.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.388,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cff…e98bbacked Yes31c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.024355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a7…bb13backed Yes31c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0222942.8%98 W · 131 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b32…90bdbacked Yes29c40.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8619944.2%88 W · 111 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b8…2d31backed Yes31c38.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a1f…3400backed No70c38.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5513100%13 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes31c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.472,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a3…9ac2backed Yes30c36.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b5…5b1ebacked No70c28.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.525265.4%34 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x213d…2978backed No74c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4610858.3%63 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedf…a085backed No74c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4610955%60 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…27c0backed No69c20.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.232552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.822247.7%106 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.682537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No69c18.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8211654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No77c16.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.872,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked No67c15.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.