Fifa International · resolved market
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadb1f2f2befb0e55e86d1b24105bcff82f244edda37b7e5a033ff6dab6e7ba6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 79c | 9,588$7,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.46 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 21c | 9,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,268$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 1,500$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.6 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 1,500$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.88 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 1,164$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 78c | 888$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 14c | 589.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 79c | 505.19$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…6924backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…625dbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 436.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes | 14c | 435.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 411.3$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 13c | 238.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 21c | 233.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…23a8backed Yes | 20c | 197.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 70c | 169$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Yes | 21c | 157.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Yes | 21c | 144.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…0e48backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 77c | 108$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 104.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 166 | 29.5%49 W · 117 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 20.4%30 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…2665backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…682abacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03d…107ebacked Yes | 51c | 89.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…aca5backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…01e5backed Yes | 20c | 70.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…2b9cbacked Yes | 23c | 66.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 20c | 57.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 167 | 47.3%79 W · 88 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…296bbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 78c | 48.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 80c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 77c | 45.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3009…be46backed Yes | 47c | 35.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked No | 80c | 28.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 53c | 26.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed No | 79c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsthis page
- Antonee Robinson: 1+ shotsNo won
- Antonee Robinson: 3+ shotsNo won
- Brandon Mechele: 3+ shotsNo won
- Brenden Aaronson: 2+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assistsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goalsYes won
- Chris Richards: 3+ shotsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ assistsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ assistsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 3+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 3+ shotsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shotsYes won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ assistsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 2+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 3+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 3+ shotsYes won
- Hans Vanaken: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ shotsYes won
- Malik Tillman: 1+ assistsNo won
- Malik Tillman: 1+ goalsYes won
- Malik Tillman: 2+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsYes won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ shotsYes won
- Romelu Lukaku: 2+ assistsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shotsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goalsNo won
- Sergiño Dest: 1+ assistsNo won
- Sergiño Dest: 1+ goalsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 1+ assistsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 1+ goalsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ assistsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ goalsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ shotsYes won
- Youri Tielemans: 2+ goalsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 2+ shotsYes won
- Youri Tielemans: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.