TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes38c26,343$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60053448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No62c17,722$10,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,756.7216357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No62c13,310$8,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,057.6774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Yes38c13,158$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No62c12,000$7,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.9629646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes38c8,000$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0406737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c6,513$4,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.224,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes38c6,484$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.477038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes39c6,410$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x95c6…ce8abacked Yes33c5,129$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.92728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+44.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No63c4,630$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.5912875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No62c4,435$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.262,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.9729250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Yes38c3,883$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.684643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes39c3,814$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Yes37c3,500$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.999126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No62c2,680$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.168652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92531152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9737959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked No61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9411558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No61c2,060$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.5934357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes25c2,000$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.310537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes38c1,842$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed No61c1,650$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.735651.8%29 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb21c…3aedbacked No62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5706246.8%29 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No62c1,476$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.6139951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda46…e6e3backed Yes38c1,317$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005135.3%18 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc902…cd14backed Yes38c1,314$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.371145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No68c1,273$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.4525454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No62c1,231$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.7840649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Yes38c1,195$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.2119553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes9c1,104$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes38c1,036$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.63,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.56564.6%42 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202927.6%8 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick8cpaid+805.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No62c999.99$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38032765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No75c998.89$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.952,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes36c984.84$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1518843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No62c975$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Yes38c921.05$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012634.9%44 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No62c822.83$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes39c795.35$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes26c761.03$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8712223%28 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes38c750$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No76c741.67$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1787126.8%19 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c639.56$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.032,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No62c637$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.991,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Yes38c526$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.887041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x352c…940dbacked Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009064.4%58 W · 32 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510736.4%39 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d34…dca1backed Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes3c499.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.54425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes38c486$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6834751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab65…b5b0backed Yes39c426.92$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.51833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012235.2%43 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcd…bf45backed Yes38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x573d…48f3backed Yes38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502425%6 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes6c382.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7680225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes38c371$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9827744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4eb…7ba3backed Yes9c356.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.096533.8%22 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes38c350$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1338939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014127.7%39 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed No63c332.19$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.315950.9%81 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes32c324.5$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.611,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cff…b8c1backed Yes38c322.16$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.42875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+65.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes37c303.56$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.733,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No61c302.17$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Yes34c299.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10232642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed No61c299.97$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9911453.5%61 W · 53 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc632…6871backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010240.2%41 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8536…bed6backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004522.2%10 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f9…c92dbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9067…8cf5backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4014…27bfbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008444%37 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010034%34 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0931…e78ebacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010050%50 W · 50 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019938.2%76 W · 123 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004148.8%20 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+30.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.55026%13 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9623…faa0backed No62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+113.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf726…7e8bbacked Yes39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5100%0 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd3d0…3df9backed Yes38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Yes33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.58441.7%35 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No61c249.98$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.495962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No61c249.95$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4825352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef3…c555backed Yes37c239.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.81233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9045…58ffbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes42c236.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022851.8%118 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.