TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7b5…5b1e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT5265.4%34 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.35
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.05
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.18
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.16
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Christian Pulisic: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.67
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.03
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.52
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.35
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.35
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.02
Portugal to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$5.11
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$10.87
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.91
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$5.13
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$5.93
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$5.23
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$9.88
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.82
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.37
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.76
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.81
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.97
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$27.79
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.3
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$56.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Hive - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hive · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.