TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,928 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c732.69$81 inLost-$80.894,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c390.25$174 inLost-$173.678,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under30c230.97$68 inWon+$162.5645536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2264…7341backed Under34c213.33$72 inWon+$141.135724.6%14 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under25c200.81$49 inWon+$151.571,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over18c150$27 inLost-$2765036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over18c150$27 inLost-$271,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over18c143.44$26 inLost-$25.717533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5527…03acbacked Over74c135.14$100 inLost-$1004755.3%26 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over74c133.78$99 inLost-$998274.4%61 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7d9…c3cbbacked Over76c131.58$100 inLost-$1003050%15 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x981f…b897backed Over78c128.48$100 inLost-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under22c103.66$23 inWon+$80.372,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Under25c77.65$19 inWon+$58.2423741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x607d…f414backed Under47c63.87$30 inWon+$33.932927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under77c62.28$48 inWon+$14.632,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over77c50.5$39 inLost-$38.892,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40b…8dcbbacked Over36c41.67$15 inLost-$155137.3%19 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over70c33$23 inLost-$23.161,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over46c27.24$12 inLost-$12.441,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…a06dbacked Over76c25.87$20 inLost-$19.66560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7776…1e8cbacked Over76c24$18 inLost-$18.244252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4b…d263backed Over77c21.27$16 inLost-$16.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7608…b400backed Over60c20$12 inLost-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Over76c13.24$10 inLost-$10.065265.4%34 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.