Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85615d8aee10329ccae5efe80c5b5c2b8235be6f7047bed0258316cf37e6600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colombiaof Switzerland, Colombia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Switzerland | 2c | 23,865$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.44 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Switzerland | 2c | 16,462$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.82 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…6a5dbacked Switzerland | 3c | 15,304$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.16 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Switzerland | 1c | 12,700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Switzerland | 2c | 10,637$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.75 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Switzerland | 1c | 9,953$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Switzerland | 2c | 9,114$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.34 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Switzerland | 3c | 9,105$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…be6dbacked Switzerland | 2c | 7,671$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Switzerland | 3c | 5,300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…083abacked Switzerland | 2c | 4,673$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Switzerland | 2c | 4,467$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Switzerland | 3c | 4,085$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Switzerland | 2c | 3,932$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Switzerland | 2c | 2,222$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 96 | 8.3%8 W · 88 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Switzerland | 2c | 2,198$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Switzerland | 2c | 1,941$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Switzerland | 1c | 1,909$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Switzerland | 1c | 1,700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…dafebacked Switzerland | 2c | 1,647$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Switzerland | 3c | 1,554$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Switzerland | 2c | 1,367$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Switzerland | 1c | 1,321$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Switzerland | 2c | 1,282$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Switzerland | 2c | 1,239$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…b3a4backed Switzerland | 1c | 1,190$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 2cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Switzerland | 2c | 1,132$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Switzerland | 2c | 858.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Switzerland | 2c | 833.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e8…c272backed Switzerland | 2c | 756.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Switzerland | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Switzerland | 2c | 612.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Switzerland | 2c | 499.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Switzerland | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-5.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-5.5)Colombia won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.