Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a9a64a340dd4c2af357a9aa8b2df97791ca8c13b5609a19b57d93a5ae15acb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Switzerlandof Colombia, Switzerland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Colombia | 4c | 42,529$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.93 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Colombia | 5c | 23,124$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.84 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Colombia | 6c | 19,221$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.61 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Colombia | 6c | 15,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Colombia | 5c | 6,032$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Colombia | 5c | 5,822$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.09 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…bfe3backed Colombia | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 10.3%9 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae4…299fbacked Colombia | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Colombia | 4c | 3,323$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Colombia | 7c | 2,920$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…57acbacked Colombia | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Colombia | 6c | 2,340$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colombia | 5c | 2,034$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…d825backed Colombia | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a4…1449backed Colombia | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Colombia | 6c | 1,460$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…01e1backed Colombia | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 20%22 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Colombia | 7c | 1,337$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colombia | 6c | 1,257$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Colombia | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Colombia | 4c | 1,134$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Colombia | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Colombia | 6c | 974.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Colombia | 5c | 936.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Colombia | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Colombia | 4c | 805.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Colombia | 6c | 634.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colombia | 6c | 511.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Colombia | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Colombia | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Colombia | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddce…7ce1backed Colombia | 5c | 499$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Colombia | 6c | 486.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Colombia | 6c | 483.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…d089backed Colombia | 7c | 473.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Colombia | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Colombia | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…ccc6backed Colombia | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Colombia | 4c | 314.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Colombia | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colombia | 6c | 299.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…adb0backed Colombia | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…ecf5backed Colombia | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Colombia | 7c | 245$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colombia | 5c | 208.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Colombia | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Colombia | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Colombia | 6c | 189$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Colombia | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-5.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-5.5)Colombia won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.