TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,050,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,023,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,050,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 533 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc430…1ebfbacked Under28c255,640$70,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185,022.318932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over69c186,453$128,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,952.21,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under66c146,506$97,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,498.8164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under14c144,023$19,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,092.712,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c82,480$31,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,263.463,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over72c73,660$52,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,945.352,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under10c35,128$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,478.641,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over53c33,701$17,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,798.8851032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Under42c30,735$12,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,960.786114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under24c25,743$6,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,501.533,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb962…45febacked Over56c25,500$14,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,175.95435.2%19 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under45c24,895$11,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,667.6637650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under10c20,956$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,860.3313234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed Over74c19,846$14,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,686.315658.9%33 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over54c18,502$10,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,042.5137223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under11c16,238$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,451.975334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under72c15,648$11,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,323.1474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over51c14,929$7,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,613.740655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Over49c14,286$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0005328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under53c14,082$7,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,615.5828229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6a…c8c1backed Under10c13,933$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,539.281070%7 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick36cpaid+146%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca62…e6b2backed Over4c11,169$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Under12c10,204$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,979.087647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa766…5a59backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015552.9%82 W · 73 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed72…577bbacked Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under15c10,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,50017642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c9,456$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,448.744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over34c9,344$3,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150.5659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over68c9,298$6,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,293.0227032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under53c8,989$4,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,196.8915929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over48c8,674$4,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,148.3521722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under19c8,520$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,893.8923353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over62c8,043$4,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,962.051,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under12c8,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,039.996016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c7,917$4,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,962.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over59c7,273$4,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,326.138032.5%26 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Under15c6,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.678648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under10c6,666$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.3631851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over50c6,445$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.522552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under70c6,320$4,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.743342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under54c6,288$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.992,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.9922342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over48c5,516$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.1224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over52c5,403$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80010949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over2c5,052$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7278835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Over12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+86.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Over5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe41b…9397backed Over71c4,863$3,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,453.031643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under48c4,630$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.7617550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under73c4,569$3,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.9541331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Under11c4,545$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,045.457958.2%46 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over46c4,531$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.12,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c4,500$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4857823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under57c4,328$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.4419649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…9c3cbacked Over12c4,294$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.892114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under24c4,290$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.2820731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under16c4,248$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.1213731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over29c4,218$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.1925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over47c4,172$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.971,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over73c4,169$3,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,043.42552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under13c4,093$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,543.147025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over9c3,766$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.8544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under25c3,623$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.24,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over23c3,585$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.1813542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under52c3,551$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.3625049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under51c3,526$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.7216050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Over53c3,491$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85017733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dee…bbbcbacked Over43c3,431$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4622751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under58c3,377$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.1543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Under58c3,343$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.0910544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c3,231$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.032,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over50c3,110$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.737944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under55c3,080$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.414250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under26c3,007$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.5119037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over54c3,000$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.9843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Over42c2,823$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.721738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over48c2,784$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.0663544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafb7…6979backed Under17c2,762$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under11c2,650$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.6530220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e9…6df2backed Over51c2,546$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93df…7306backed Over77c2,500$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.996863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4342…0f91backed Over75c2,471$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under28c2,339$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.2919744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Under71c2,320$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.6264850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under10c2,317$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.589150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under34c2,102$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.511637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under54c2,095$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.6530039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over53c2,087$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Over45c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8905435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under10c2,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9712224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under46c1,905$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.7283153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c1,890$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.722,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under11c1,818$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.1828025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f8…38b5backed Over38c1,770$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.35158.8%30 W · 21 L+9.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Under34c1,760$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.057153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under67c1,740$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.0129740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under24c1,732$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.192,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Under12c1,619$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.848032.5%26 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.