TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,133,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,092,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,133,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,071 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c181,720$122,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,046.934,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over28c133,266$37,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,602.781,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under31c128,398$39,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,594.9522348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over40c125,554$50,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,221.642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over45c98,500$44,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,789.12,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under59c86,260$50,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,454.842,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over34c85,966$29,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,259.6424533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Under60c83,000$49,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,200.0115456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under32c75,529$24,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,511.457163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under37c74,433$27,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,051.5651032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over68c41,875$28,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,563.121,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c30,856$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.0851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over64c27,994$17,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,807.392,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over42c27,556$11,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,548.7637223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Over40c26,150$10,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,459.998931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed Over69c26,087$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0004870.8%34 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Under38c25,120$9,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,477.0711642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under60c24,157$14,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,662.917852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over44c24,078$10,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,517.1637242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under59c23,433$13,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,493.2225844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over70c22,920$16,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,044.332552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed Over59c22,023$13,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,007.315658.9%33 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under46c21,400$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,500.0914250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c19,554$5,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,862.143,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe18…3be4backed Over29c17,083$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f74…fa8bbacked Over0c16,170$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.171973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Over68c14,706$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over55c14,670$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over70c14,444$10,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,110.814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over28c12,580$3,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,522.475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c12,131$8,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,052.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Over62c12,097$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5007636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over68c12,000$8,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,159.9929646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Under63c11,412$7,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,228.8815937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under42c10,973$4,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,34242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over39c10,906$4,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,281.781,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Over70c10,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over68c9,900$6,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,73214553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under60c9,900$5,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9606056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over36c9,361$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,324.549525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Over34c8,829$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.994740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Under61c8,052$4,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.214351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c3f…e87cbacked Over69c8,000$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5202532%8 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under32c7,787$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,295.1670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over2c7,715$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.74626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over20c7,422$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.737944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under31c7,160$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,940.7327951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over70c7,143$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Over40c6,836$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.213163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under60c6,705$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.945846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Under69c6,661$4,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.945166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under60c6,608$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6439243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over69c6,600$4,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,553.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over35c6,541$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.721,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under53c6,371$3,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.813,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under30c6,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9926445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over70c5,714$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0008672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f8…38b5backed Over19c5,614$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.045158.8%30 W · 21 L+9.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc7ec…afc8backed Over69c5,366$3,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,702.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Under60c5,300$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.82450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c5,219$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.891,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c5,169$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.932,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Over40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95028133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Over5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over40c4,230$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.135034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Under34c4,152$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,725.627647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf8ae…de3dbacked Over69c4,094$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under30c4,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over38c3,706$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under57c3,659$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.282,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over69c3,623$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under32c3,558$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.8631851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under68c3,472$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.9919649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under48c3,342$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.081,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under30c3,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24020333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Over67c3,200$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.987346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under71c3,058$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.2251250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1817…680bbacked Over69c3,014$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6783…401abacked Over40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005250%26 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over65c2,988$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92833544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over40c2,913$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.258049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under64c2,910$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.5826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb4…5c43backed Over69c2,822$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over53c2,747$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.712958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under68c2,687$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.3430039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Under38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.5816041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under31c2,500$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.383,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f9…b9c5backed Over22c2,500$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54710147.5%48 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over40c2,425$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97019939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under30c2,412$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.7436031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over54c2,400$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ed…7f4bbacked Over69c2,380$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.33887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+77.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bf7…9907backed Over41c2,368$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over30c2,302$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over69c2,271$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.831,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under69c2,196$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.8613953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Over14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under31c2,048$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.871,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.