TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,484 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over8c18,209$1,478 inLost-$1,478.292,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over2c14,171$329 inLost-$329.053,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over3c9,999$300 inLost-$299.987530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over8c6,388$511 inLost-$511.0570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over8c6,041$483 inLost-$483.321,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over7c3,969$276 inLost-$276.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over8c3,125$250 inLost-$25046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over8c2,500$200 inLost-$2005330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over8c1,897$152 inLost-$151.752,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa518…cce4backed Over8c1,250$100 inLost-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+63.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0840…f4d9backed Over8c1,237$103 inLost-$102.574311.6%5 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over9c1,010$91 inLost-$90.9389443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over8c838.5$67 inLost-$67.083,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over8c633.39$52 inLost-$52.1371939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351a…04c7backed Over8c625$50 inLost-$501225%3 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over8c437.5$35 inLost-$3522919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a5…f089backed Over8c312.5$25 inLost-$255213.5%7 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over16c303.43$50 inLost-$5036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over6c302.68$17 inLost-$17.031,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over8c250$20 inLost-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over8c199.99$15 inLost-$1529813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over8c150$12 inLost-$1243826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Over8c125$10 inLost-$1025018.4%46 W · 204 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Over8c125$10 inLost-$1012123.1%28 W · 93 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over8c125$10 inLost-$1017240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4404…a067backed Over8c125$10 inLost-$102412.5%3 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under76c86.63$66 inWon+$20.792920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.