Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b1991c91480e3be1ede4c132384cbc72b3c31d777493e06909faf4088c24ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 59c | 14,374$8,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,878.25 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 40c | 8,957$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.8 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 42c | 6,456$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.17 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 3,753$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.13 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44da…c794backed Over | 41c | 1,975$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 59c | 1,940$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.43 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 1,203$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.96 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…080dbacked Over | 28c | 909.61$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 60c | 792.16$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.81 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over | 41c | 458.51$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 42c | 279.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4423…47fdbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Over | 41c | 191.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe321…2d2ebacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 57c | 104$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 44c | 99.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…6c62backed Over | 37c | 91.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…ba41backed Over | 37c | 85.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…9d52backed Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 42c | 79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2264…7341backed Over | 42c | 60.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 58c | 60.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1441…aaa1backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 38.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Over | 41c | 36.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 57c | 33.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1b89backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-5.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-5.5)Colombia won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.