Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x997b95fa0aa6f18237464cb1ec7d4f2df8b8498b6c2f2ffc66b33f1cbd165cbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Under | 60c | 1,683$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.33 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 40c | 1,683$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.33 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 40c | 1,657$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d0…1855backed Over | 43c | 1,354$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Under | 62c | 1,007$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.06 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Under | 58c | 996.68$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.6 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 58c | 671.16$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.22 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…dfabbacked Over | 45c | 652.91$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.25 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked Under | 58c | 650$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…de9bbacked Under | 60c | 596.98$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.87 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 55c | 517.8$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.01 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…2d0fbacked Under | 58c | 482.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Over | 42c | 391.26$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.91 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 35c | 390.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 56c | 348.86$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Over | 29c | 346.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 324.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 11c | 269.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 20c | 242.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 42c | 238.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 233.92$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6035…cc85backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 55c | 228.44$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 216$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Under | 59c | 188.67$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Over | 41c | 185.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under | 57c | 174.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2264…7341backed Over | 41c | 158.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over | 41c | 158.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…8e2abacked Over | 42c | 113.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 71c | 112.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked Under | 62c | 104.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…7330backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Over | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd460…48a6backed Over | 43c | 58.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 59c | 51.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c0…f6c1backed Under | 61c | 48.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 170 | 24.1%41 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…e0efbacked Under | 59c | 38.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed Over | 40c | 34.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…dad6backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…f40bbacked Under | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 58c | 32.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 61c | 17.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-5.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-5.5)Colombia won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.