TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Switzerlandof Colombia, Switzerland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,486,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,368,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,486,039 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44cf…e95cbacked Colombia20c300,000$59,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,00040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed Colombia17c259,999$44,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,599.895939%23 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Colombia17c133,868$23,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,384.832,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colombia16c100,970$16,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,148.871,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Colombia14c62,608$8,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,926.792,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Colombia19c52,057$9,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,885.18135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Colombia13c26,621$3,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,358.5337223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Colombia19c16,922$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.142,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Colombia19c14,781$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,847.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Colombia20c12,458$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,486.62,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Colombia18c11,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9806132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Colombia20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00022229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Colombia18c8,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4403732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Colombia8c7,303$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.9525418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa84…5756backed Colombia19c7,207$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+121.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Colombia7c6,055$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.054,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4919…5a51backed Colombia18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Colombia6c5,147$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.843315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Colombia7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35075335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Colombia19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9506737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Colombia19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c3f…e87cbacked Colombia19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9502532%8 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Colombia20c4,925$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9855127.5%14 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…240cbacked Colombia20c4,250$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8505433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colombia15c3,800$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.142,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Switzerland80c3,684$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.82,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Colombia7c3,445$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.051,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Colombia20c3,200$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Colombia18c3,079$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.371020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-56.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x984d…3bb2backed Colombia20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Colombia20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Colombia12c2,917$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Colombia18c2,891$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.448458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x552b…f8bcbacked Colombia12c2,876$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.123016.7%5 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+119.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Colombia20c2,526$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.1322436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Colombia20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2193…e6cabacked Colombia20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009929.3%29 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac57…ffcbbacked Colombia20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Colombia19c2,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47512227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Colombia20c2,430$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48611346%52 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Switzerland80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40055044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Switzerland80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40011755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Switzerland80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Colombia18c1,697$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30611020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Colombia1c1,685$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf361…9071backed Colombia6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…7f1cbacked Colombia18c1,600$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2926232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Colombia20c1,599$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.717153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Colombia19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010757%61 W · 46 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Colombia17c1,496$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.031,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Colombia11c1,417$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Colombia20c1,332$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3916831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Colombia18c1,271$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7823240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Colombia20c1,255$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Colombia20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Colombia18c1,162$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5637754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a96…286bbacked Colombia3c1,071$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.44560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Colombia19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027454%148 W · 126 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…fefcbacked Colombia19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008333.7%28 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb837…648cbacked Colombia12c1,014$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Switzerland80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005930.5%18 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ca…1e53backed Colombia10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011330.1%34 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Colombia20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007621.1%16 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Colombia16c1,000$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15511230.4%34 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6752…5977backed Colombia12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-70.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x202d…c3b1backed Switzerland80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Switzerland80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa787…2cfabacked Colombia19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Colombia12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Colombia19c1,000$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d9…f1c5backed Colombia15c999.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colombia15c961.5$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.624,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Colombia20c910.84$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0613943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac39…bf1dbacked Colombia20c872.15$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.43944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+81.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Switzerland80c844$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.81,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa518…cce4backed Colombia12c822.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.73933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+63.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Colombia18c816.69$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Switzerland80c800$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16024045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Colombia19c736.84$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014528.3%41 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Colombia12c666.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Colombia19c631.58$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08d5…1cbbbacked Colombia20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010726.2%28 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Colombia17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008431%26 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Colombia17c573.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.535733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Colombia19c556.63$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7672722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed Colombia18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Colombia10c548.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559445.7%43 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b2…d041backed Colombia19c543.37$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.24540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Colombia19c539.46$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.552744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d42…8663backed Colombia20c530.2$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.04650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5949…534bbacked Colombia19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Colombia19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Colombia19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012529.6%37 W · 88 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Colombia20c512.29$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.464619.6%9 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea7…ef55backed Switzerland80c500.15$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.037832.1%25 W · 53 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Colombia19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9513447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Colombia20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012558.4%73 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Colombia20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Switzerland80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Colombia20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.