Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd13cc41a63bfa7fdf283ad4d0b6be115bf5fbb310848635cd9c2fe94a0e1eb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 7,988$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 66c | 6,106$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.75 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…ed53backed Over | 34c | 5,760$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.39 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Under | 66c | 5,626$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.72 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 34c | 5,611$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.76 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 18c | 3,500$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 27c | 2,750$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.48 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 66c | 1,452$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.67 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Over | 9c | 949.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 26c | 944.34$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Over | 33c | 571.27$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 67c | 540.67$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 66c | 421.21$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 66c | 390$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 80c | 371.89$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Over | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 28c | 312$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4423…47fdbacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 34c | 289.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 35c | 218.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a24…545dbacked Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 65c | 99.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 66c | 96.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 66c | 88.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2264…7341backed Over | 35c | 71.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Over | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 65c | 70.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…fd32backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…c06fbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 66c | 43.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 65c | 30.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…d152backed Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Under | 66c | 18.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-5.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-5.5)Colombia won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.