TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,857,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,839,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,857,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x095f…90b2backed Under60c2,074,316$1,244,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829,726.571968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over40c559,736$223,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223,852.633538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over40c515,000$205,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,70074752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked Under58c347,421$201,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145,916.83360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over40c300,000$120,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,00032031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over42c256,972$107,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,928.353571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under60c250,000$150,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,00022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over32c218,972$69,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,697.581,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over41c205,597$83,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,382.6442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Over40c177,777$71,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,110.88246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under59c164,404$97,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,305.421,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over40c140,177$55,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,872.6377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under64c131,534$83,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,799.451032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Over39c109,183$42,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,701.410653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…3046backed Over39c102,680$40,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,045.21735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Over40c60,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0008521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under61c59,636$36,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,258.0613742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9732…1539backed Over42c59,141$24,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,839.342123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over32c57,903$18,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,712.62,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Under59c50,000$29,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,50014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over38c39,219$15,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,052.322,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over34c37,270$12,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,589.867642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over40c30,400$12,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,097.2617852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over41c30,000$12,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,299.989451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Over39c29,160$11,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,372.413448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Over40c27,673$11,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,069.255328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under60c25,487$15,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,194.6740655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed Over39c25,000$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,749.973221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c24,677$9,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,103.084,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6315…27a9backed Over42c23,810$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over21c21,549$4,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,457.8937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Under61c20,000$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8004436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fcb…7e25backed Over40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Over41c19,998$8,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,199.1817452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over40c19,282$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,679.9821849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Over42c19,270$8,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,093.588835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over39c19,000$7,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,41014553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under68c15,726$10,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,032.3918740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Under60c15,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0001850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over41c15,000$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,149.8627345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over31c14,722$4,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,527.431,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f8…38b5backed Over7c14,367$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.295158.8%30 W · 21 L+9.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over10c13,698$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.6828133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under59c12,705$7,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,208.9738948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over41c12,329$5,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,054.8970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under59c10,756$6,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,409.765863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over41c10,231$4,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,163.9829154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Over39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90013959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Over40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00013235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Over39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9008458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf329…ea10backed Over30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005429.6%16 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9710744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under59c8,751$5,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.912,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Over42c8,333$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc173…26eebacked Over39c8,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1201060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over40c8,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Over39c8,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1205538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Under63c7,897$4,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,921.867647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Over3c7,868$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf182…6225backed Over39c7,696$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.475937.3%22 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over40c7,597$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.931,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Over30c7,286$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,185.934738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…284fbacked Over4c7,190$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.173420.6%7 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over40c7,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64f1…3268backed Over20c6,950$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under77c6,494$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.5123353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over40c6,000$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.021,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over40c5,634$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.4736031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over40c5,600$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over39c5,479$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.974452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Under72c5,450$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.876738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under62c5,236$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.0356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over39c5,100$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.8311443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Under59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.756526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Over5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.9522342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b70…65a0backed Over30c4,961$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.172015%3 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Over40c4,864$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.5219517.9%35 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Under58c4,840$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.82650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e7…48d5backed Over42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.0410151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a4…7cdbbacked Over42c4,565$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.441030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over37c4,514$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.2618633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over27c4,500$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c4,500$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.997823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under59c4,439$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.0386455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3744…c141backed Over16c4,381$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.992045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c4,381$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Under61c4,243$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.626660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over5c4,099$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.195320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over39c4,082$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.334,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under79c4,007$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over17c3,972$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.723,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x527d…d8f4backed Over42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under61c3,540$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.772,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over41c3,500$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4359126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd476…f5d4backed Under59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.832944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.