TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Switzerlandof Switzerland, Colombia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,242,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,499,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,242,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 6,115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09b4…7320backed Switzerland40c2,036,502$814,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221,901.431758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Switzerland39c1,490,226$579,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910,727.2833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Colombia61c1,398,811$853,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853,274.779142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Colombia60c1,242,955$740,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740,868.812,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Switzerland46c1,135,946$527,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608,257.5677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Colombia60c787,807$472,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472,684.25451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Switzerland42c557,605$232,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324,863.771,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Switzerland39c556,286$216,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339,334.695334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Colombia54c532,565$289,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289,602.058246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92a…80a7backed Colombia1c484,076$6,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,560.142733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Colombia50c407,831$203,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203,305.1649441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Colombia59c302,941$180,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180,0006543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Colombia51c298,723$151,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,149.1837223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Switzerland41c284,441$116,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167,953.4742345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Switzerland40c220,293$88,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,176.091060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Switzerland49c199,999$98,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,999.718932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Switzerland39c198,122$77,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,314.311,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Switzerland41c186,981$76,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,763.32669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Colombia60c184,000$110,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,9003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…59bfbacked Colombia62c180,000$111,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,6001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Switzerland46c150,000$69,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,999.916048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa235…34bbbacked Colombia53c149,999$79,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,499.712524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Colombia42c119,563$49,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,708.931945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Colombia60c109,993$65,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,995.7617452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a3…8666backed Colombia57c107,607$61,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf916…2bf6backed Colombia4c105,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Switzerland45c103,818$46,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,878.262,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed Colombia61c101,462$61,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,891.635967.8%40 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Colombia60c100,000$60,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,0005119.6%10 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Colombia61c100,000$61,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,0007433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Switzerland48c100,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,00011647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Switzerland39c100,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,999.7517949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Colombia60c99,357$59,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,729.729952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed Switzerland39c99,000$38,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,389.829845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Colombia23c98,434$22,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,616.755040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Colombia39c90,980$35,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,092.3442043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Colombia60c90,350$54,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,209.759131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed Colombia61c90,072$54,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,944.023036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Switzerland40c89,500$35,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,850.3925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Switzerland40c85,712$34,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,426.3456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Colombia38c83,383$31,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,462.0733337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Switzerland40c82,870$32,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,086.117447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Colombia52c81,910$42,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,607.7919332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Switzerland39c79,778$30,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,789.121,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0e…cf87backed Colombia62c74,521$46,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,202.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Switzerland44c71,137$30,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,171.4923540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Colombia61c70,000$42,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,70013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Colombia52c68,458$35,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,598.257346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colombia48c67,298$32,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,177.543,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed Switzerland46c66,999$30,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,179.644445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Switzerland45c66,666$29,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,899.827545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Switzerland39c65,538$25,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,978.416244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Colombia61c64,750$39,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,497.74216.7%7 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x29e6…3365backed Colombia55c63,116$34,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,723.752763%17 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476f…f8b9backed Colombia54c61,728$33,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,3331154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+61.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Switzerland45c61,604$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,604.3332429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Switzerland49c61,224$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,224.4812210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Switzerland38c60,000$22,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,20012536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Switzerland45c58,049$26,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,776.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…8cc2backed Colombia52c57,692$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0001020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-51.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Colombia62c57,577$35,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,697.722657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Switzerland39c56,904$22,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,711.449345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Colombia54c55,556$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Switzerland39c55,544$21,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,8825240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Switzerland47c55,263$26,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,105.6820839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Colombia55c55,036$30,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,019.987839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Switzerland73c50,162$36,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,426.1213738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Switzerland46c50,000$23,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,0004178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Colombia59c50,000$29,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,299.929642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe18…3be4backed Colombia59c49,037$29,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,060.676841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed Switzerland38c48,600$18,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,131.736053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Switzerland64c48,002$30,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,410.164748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Colombia37c46,827$17,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,401.9924443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1681…b1c7backed Switzerland41c45,999$18,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,179.647740.3%31 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Switzerland42c45,893$19,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,723.595328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Colombia61c45,000$27,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,45024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed Colombia60c45,000$26,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,849.983221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Switzerland45c44,807$20,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,644.0453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Switzerland55c43,978$24,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,791.6713036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Colombia41c43,754$18,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0722661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Switzerland46c42,520$19,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,954.463339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Switzerland39c41,300$16,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,010.5220731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Colombia60c40,976$24,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,729.8521836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Colombia58c40,358$23,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,224.2379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Colombia61c40,191$24,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,672.6910059%59 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Colombia52c40,000$20,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,8001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb107…3046backed Switzerland48c40,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,8001735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Switzerland46c40,000$18,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,599.8627039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a2…5014backed Colombia60c38,587$23,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,015.971947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Colombia60c37,515$22,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,351.6114542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa701…47cdbacked Colombia61c37,493$22,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,870.481936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb754…96dfbacked Colombia51c37,454$19,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,101.331040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…c536backed Colombia53c37,094$19,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,8003351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b06…7cdfbacked Colombia54c37,037$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Switzerland50c36,392$18,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,363.6514139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b6…ca29backed Switzerland39c35,900$14,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,898.952157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Switzerland39c35,900$14,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,898.925745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Switzerland39c35,545$13,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,788.1224028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed Switzerland40c34,401$13,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,675.571952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Switzerland44c34,379$15,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,083.9836247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.