TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$477,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$544,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $477,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 680 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe7e…6d00backed No43c23,452$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Yes64c18,711$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,711.2610562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No38c17,078$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,489.6322139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes67c11,804$7,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,840.8920646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No36c11,308$4,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,044.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked No35c9,257$3,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.746622.7%15 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes54c8,725$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,044.8413330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes62c8,681$5,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,298.6523353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No31c8,420$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.792,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes60c6,592$3,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.4232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b61…230ebacked No42c6,583$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.2915936.5%58 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No14c5,813$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.391,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No25c5,586$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.6958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…3574backed Yes60c5,425$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed No39c5,061$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.8635036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85c…a55ebacked Yes20c5,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c4…bc41backed No33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.973611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Yes59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.969645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No4c4,724$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5369826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed No47c4,432$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10011942%50 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No36c4,232$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.3653629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93c…74e0backed No32c4,152$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3361330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+67.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed No39c4,070$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.355358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes64c3,984$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.8718056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked No13c3,938$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacd9…6bcbbacked No44c3,926$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7172650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No28c3,700$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02318848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes71c3,688$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.631152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes68c3,687$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.8413953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes69c3,600$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.4624635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No66c3,591$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.136450%32 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f47…d66ebacked Yes71c3,513$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.654566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed No27c3,425$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92423528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked No45c3,194$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.6219247.9%92 W · 100 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes61c3,100$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93df…7306backed Yes59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2306863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed No37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.9715226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c62…84fcbacked No22c2,984$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.042123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No8c2,827$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.931,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No45c2,632$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.6634249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked No39c2,560$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.397639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d4…82f9backed No7c2,516$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803616.7%6 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+91.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4012…a72dbacked No40c2,499$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-59.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No4c2,487$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e3…935dbacked No4c2,357$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.295925.4%15 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No27c2,349$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.718843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0b…a0d9backed Yes68c2,287$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.733961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7a…2703backed Yes61c2,238$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.045438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes60c2,222$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.826447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x458b…3d1cbacked No40c2,102$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.61333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed Yes60c2,081$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.718746%40 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Yes49c2,057$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05713731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a6b…6704backed Yes69c2,033$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.611573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf334…af4cbacked Yes60c2,024$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.073956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Yes20c1,995$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5964643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabd7…a0cebacked Yes60c1,987$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.9610844.4%48 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes59c1,877$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.721,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7fcd…bf45backed No43c1,804$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.464725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Yes54c1,787$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8154148.8%20 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+30.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa101…001dbacked Yes65c1,767$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.961040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5072…17bebacked Yes61c1,630$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.0711747%55 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca62…e6b2backed No19c1,599$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed No37c1,594$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.5827034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No47c1,573$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.232,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed No34c1,567$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.468530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5e…b322backed Yes71c1,546$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked No40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.092187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a8…3592backed Yes60c1,491$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.9910043%43 W · 57 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d88…95bbbacked No34c1,451$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2825…cbe7backed Yes36c1,370$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.181050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed No36c1,366$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.4110844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed No29c1,333$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.3310732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No27c1,328$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.6216946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes61c1,307$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.7114246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked No39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a2…3f53backed No38c1,272$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.465743.9%25 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d41…24d7backed Yes73c1,259$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.783444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Yes58c1,200$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9922835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed No13c1,147$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b6…5b63backed No43c1,139$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.5210419.2%20 W · 84 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-50.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88b5…a041backed No31c1,100$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.994045%18 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Yes62c1,097$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.7719744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Yes19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.636648.5%32 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+107.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.6332145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked No39c1,019$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.2713061.5%80 W · 50 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+100.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Yes20c1,018$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.2912428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed No38c1,001$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38529138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a96…286bbacked No20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked No16c999.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9925418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34c8…49bcbacked No35c999.66$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.527123.9%17 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8662…0731backed Yes61c999.46$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.791435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…bf5bbacked No38c996.22$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3824721.3%10 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff3…531dbacked No40c985$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3946339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes60c980.32$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.879752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…f522backed No41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007626.3%20 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed No32c925.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6da…5ccfbacked No41c921.05$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.651241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No34c919.73$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1521937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdc…6a24backed Yes67c902.95$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.144431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.