TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa101…001d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2969%20 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$135.35
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,381.16
Abidjan 2: Digvijaypratap Singh vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$49.62
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$1,161.37
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander Zverevbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.74
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.31
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,697Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$998.35
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$191.15
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$102.81
Savannah: Jack Kennedy vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.14
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Emilio Navabacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.87
Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$120.95
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.96
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+272.6%+$144.71
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$356.75
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$392.88
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$276.87
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,012.5
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.07
Madrid Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.15
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$40.2
Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+235%+$281.97
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,256.68
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,174.98
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,176.49
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$209.04
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.44
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.32
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$1,807.15
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.67
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$347.78
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.81
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$726.12
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.32
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$37.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$116.14
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.6
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.2
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$110
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.97
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$616.96
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,070
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.16
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+140%+$917.13
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$314.29
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.49
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,595Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$786.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google say "Banana" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$43.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.