Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08159f5f1fef101c926a0f01225bcf63d4d3f8ab37eca9bbdbff49d7562bee0c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Karolina Pliskovaof Elise Mertens, Karolina Pliskova
Resolved: Apr 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $488,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $484,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,471 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xde9f…d43cbacked Karolina Pliskova	28c	29,701$8,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,335.17	6,596	50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L	+259.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Elise Mertens	44c	19,506$8,618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,618.11	11,325	43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L	+18.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Karolina Pliskova	43c	14,164$6,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,065.59	644	55.3%356 W · 288 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Elise Mertens	71c	14,087$9,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,933.94	294	55.8%164 W · 130 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Elise Mertens	38c	13,967$5,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,307.46	1,188	48.9%581 W · 607 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Karolina Pliskova	40c	12,988$5,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,777.33	4,647	49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L	+159.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Elise Mertens	62c	10,673$6,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,624.66	8,152	45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L	+155.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Karolina Pliskova	50c	10,010$4,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,019.54	666	49.5%330 W · 336 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Karolina Pliskova	3c	7,831$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,592.85	341	36.4%124 W · 217 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Karolina Pliskova	26c	7,039$1,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,232.09	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Elise Mertens	70c	7,025$4,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,949.06	1,418	55%780 W · 638 L	+22.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e26…e4d1backed Karolina Pliskova	11c	6,704$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,983.88	104	36.5%38 W · 66 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Karolina Pliskova	3c	6,602$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,393.46	1,205	8%96 W · 1,109 L	+17.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+80.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Elise Mertens	32c	4,956$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,566.23	4,126	44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L	+13.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Elise Mertens	49c	4,757$2,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,321.01	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Karolina Pliskova	44c	4,647$2,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,596.82	2,523	39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x138d…b23ebacked Karolina Pliskova	1c	4,500$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,455	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	1cpaid	+488.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Karolina Pliskova	24c	4,354$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,294.55	579	39.7%230 W · 349 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Karolina Pliskova	29c	4,285$1,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,043.05	1,090	35.9%391 W · 699 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Karolina Pliskova	30c	3,902$1,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,731.17	127	52%66 W · 61 L	+9.2wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Elise Mertens	68c	3,397$2,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,322.58	464	73.3%340 W · 124 L	+27.0wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb70e…cde2backed Karolina Pliskova	60c	3,132$1,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,268.56	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Elise Mertens	57c	2,926$1,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,670.85	536	55.4%297 W · 239 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Elise Mertens	62c	2,774$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,719.87	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Karolina Pliskova	38c	2,765$1,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,714.89	5,288	56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L	+231.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Karolina Pliskova	32c	2,621$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,774.13	661	39.3%260 W · 401 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Elise Mertens	49c	2,275$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.96	158	45.6%72 W · 86 L	-12.6wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Karolina Pliskova	36c	2,265$807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,457.75	593	48.9%290 W · 303 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Elise Mertens	35c	2,219$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.7	4,875	41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L	-77.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karolina Pliskova	22c	2,185$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,696.76	8,726	36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L	-187.0wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Karolina Pliskova	41c	2,172$891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,281.64	543	45.3%246 W · 297 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Elise Mertens	72c	2,093$1,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,506.13	4,466	67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L	+299.9wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Elise Mertens	67c	2,057$1,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,385.84	1,615	50.6%817 W · 798 L	-17.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Elise Mertens	59c	2,039$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,198.68	278	46%128 W · 150 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Karolina Pliskova	37c	2,000$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,270	333	42.6%142 W · 191 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed Elise Mertens	55c	1,946$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070.3	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Karolina Pliskova	31c	1,930$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,331.48	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Karolina Pliskova	29c	1,908$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,354.94	582	32%186 W · 396 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf402…ce7abacked Elise Mertens	41c	1,882$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.68	162	42.6%69 W · 93 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc105…c1b0backed Elise Mertens	55c	1,822$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.18	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-4.8wins	-0.21per pick	34cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Karolina Pliskova	29c	1,727$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.83	587	34.6%203 W · 384 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Elise Mertens	48c	1,703$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.39	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Karolina Pliskova	29c	1,588$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,134.63	144	43.1%62 W · 82 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Karolina Pliskova	19c	1,566$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.11	208	44.2%92 W · 116 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Karolina Pliskova	28c	1,519$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,095.25	401	36.4%146 W · 255 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Karolina Pliskova	41c	1,365$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$805.23	331	49.2%163 W · 168 L	+9.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Elise Mertens	75c	1,318$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.83	447	54.4%243 W · 204 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Elise Mertens	66c	1,213$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.26	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-7.7wins	-0.16per pick	55cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Karolina Pliskova	26c	1,198$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.43	300	31.7%95 W · 205 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Elise Mertens	62c	1,183$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.93	363	61.7%224 W · 139 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3e…7d88backed Karolina Pliskova	25c	1,162$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.84	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Elise Mertens	70c	1,160$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.51	574	47.7%274 W · 300 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Karolina Pliskova	25c	1,061$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792.5	380	13.9%53 W · 327 L	-38.3wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c87…98b1backed Karolina Pliskova	2c	1,054$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,036.15	226	2.2%5 W · 221 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Karolina Pliskova	30c	1,005$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.42	322	47.2%152 W · 170 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Karolina Pliskova	30c	999.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.94	395	34.4%136 W · 259 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Karolina Pliskova	25c	997.89$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.41	819	38.9%319 W · 500 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Karolina Pliskova	5c	967.8$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920.98	221	13.6%30 W · 191 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…3733backed Karolina Pliskova	42c	965.2$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.82	127	56.7%72 W · 55 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Karolina Pliskova	27c	956.2$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698.03	277	32.1%89 W · 188 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Elise Mertens	62c	950.93$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.57	1,093	50.4%551 W · 542 L	-18.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Karolina Pliskova	31c	939.41$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.59	1,062	31.8%338 W · 724 L	-27.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Elise Mertens	72c	929.94$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.56	277	39%108 W · 169 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Elise Mertens	56c	877.03$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.46	567	54.5%309 W · 258 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed Elise Mertens	76c	843.93$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638	217	65.9%143 W · 74 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Elise Mertens	75c	821.89$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.41	439	50.8%223 W · 216 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Elise Mertens	13c	811.26$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.69	325	36.9%120 W · 205 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Karolina Pliskova	55c	780.24$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.17	1,410	38.4%542 W · 868 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Karolina Pliskova	30c	766.4$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.48	887	49.8%442 W · 445 L	-22.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dbb…c0fdbacked Elise Mertens	70c	732.26$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.58	98	56.1%55 W · 43 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Karolina Pliskova	28c	731.77$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.92	721	32%231 W · 490 L	-17.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e70…caccbacked Elise Mertens	43c	707.64$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.28	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Karolina Pliskova	27c	698.16$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.66	216	55.6%120 W · 96 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed Karolina Pliskova	28c	683.16$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.87	142	55.6%79 W · 63 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Karolina Pliskova	21c	674.48$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.42	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Elise Mertens	75c	655.35$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.52	605	62.8%380 W · 225 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Elise Mertens	55c	648.63$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.39	1,678	50.8%852 W · 826 L	+30.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Elise Mertens	64c	628.8$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401	2,537	53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L	+61.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Karolina Pliskova	33c	625.32$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.97	231	30.3%70 W · 161 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Elise Mertens	61c	609.97$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.08	158	54.4%86 W · 72 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0c…160cbacked Elise Mertens	76c	598.06$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.12	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Elise Mertens	61c	577.57$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.32	623	45.4%283 W · 340 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karolina Pliskova	39c	563.08$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.62	7,745	50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L	+93.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Karolina Pliskova	39c	549.83$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.68	6,685	36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L	-96.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Elise Mertens	48c	549.68$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.31	2,399	50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L	+76.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Elise Mertens	67c	548.99$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.82	1,284	39.2%503 W · 781 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Elise Mertens	58c	548.96$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.4	307	44.6%137 W · 170 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Karolina Pliskova	41c	521.92$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.45	2,144	54.2%1,162 W · 982 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Karolina Pliskova	22c	506.17$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.81	2,855	49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Elise Mertens	62c	501.38$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.45	603	55.4%334 W · 269 L	+19.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbe…4d6abacked Karolina Pliskova	26c	500$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Elise Mertens	72c	494.49$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.02	254	46.5%118 W · 136 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Elise Mertens	51c	452.44$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.22	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Elise Mertens	65c	444.69$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.05	198	51%101 W · 97 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4833…17d5backed Karolina Pliskova	11c	430.27$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.94	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Karolina Pliskova	39c	428.69$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262	3,631	54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L	+110.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Karolina Pliskova	64c	423.37$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.41	620	61.9%384 W · 236 L	-18.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f05…d802backed Elise Mertens	41c	410$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.1	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x942d…896cbacked Elise Mertens	41c	407.06$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.9	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Elise Mertens	74c	399.08$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.32	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	69cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskovathis page
Elise Mertens vs. Karolina Pliskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Mertens vs PliskovaPliskova won
Set Handicap: Mertens (-1.5) vs Pliskova (+1.5)Pliskova won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event