TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x41c2…b6a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,858.1
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,804Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,804.14
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,555Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,979.33
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,983Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$792.83
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$703.13
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$459
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$568.9
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$619.16
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300.27
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$545.14
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$317.13
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,052Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$262.91
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,398Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$931.93
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$707.21
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$427
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,874.4
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$308.98
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,937.81
Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+189.7%+$737.37
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,120.42
Austria to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.01
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT4738.3%18 W · 29 L-7.7wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.3
Set 2 Winner: Rublev vs Borgesbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.16
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Nicolas Kicker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.58
Set 2 Winner: Majchrzak vs Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.67
Set 1 Winner: Hanfmann vs Baezbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$222.51
Set 1 Winner: Sherif vs Jacquemotbacked Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$79.46
Hamburg European Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.03
ITF Bacau: Tudor Batin vs Oleksandr Ovcharenkobacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.57
Livesport Prague Open: Ayla Aksu vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Sofia Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.96
Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cinabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$223.89
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Shevchenko vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$254.3
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.24
Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$632.15
Alexander Bublik vs. Quentin Halys: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$155.78
Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs Vacherotbacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$118.93
Bunschoten: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Filippo Romanobacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.12
Set 3 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.24
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,027.31
Set 2 Winner: Hurkacz vs Struffbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$162.56
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$75.37
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.06
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.25
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5)backed Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.1
Mallorca Championships: Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.42
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.95
Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,371.33
Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+150.2%+$858.19
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.56
Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$239.75
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.81
AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$380.16
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,432Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$2,941.71
AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,990Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$1,496.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.6
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$299.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$613.57
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$797.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$141.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$502.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$938.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,474.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.