Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4c9c88471746ce1ffa6480a49daa000432e7ef7a7a924d5930076a7c5d919ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 3,202$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.86 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Over | 69c | 2,134$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 1,709$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.7 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 16c | 1,688$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.99 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 21c | 809.87$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.39 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 762.13$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.08 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 72c | 558.73$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 22c | 535.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.99 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 322.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.17 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 68c | 304$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.37 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 278.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 21c | 217.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 39c | 215.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 213.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 11c | 201$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.79 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 146.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 57c | 116$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 68c | 101.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 51c | 96.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 32c | 73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 71c | 48.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…3f3fbacked Over | 56c | 35.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 39c | 29.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 60c | 28.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.