TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Ahli Saudi Clubof Al Ahli Saudi Club, Al Kholood Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,784 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Al Ahli Saudi Club72c865.3$622 inWon+$243.062,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Kholood Saudi Club35c701.37$245 inLost-$245.215,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Al Kholood Saudi Club46c486.59$224 inLost-$223.831,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Kholood Saudi Club43c394.73$171 inLost-$171.291,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Al Ahli Saudi Club56c302.73$170 inWon+$133.239655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Al Ahli Saudi Club57c263.16$150 inWon+$113.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Al Ahli Saudi Club54c249.99$135 inWon+$1156457.8%37 W · 27 L+10.9wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+51.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Al Kholood Saudi Club26c200$53 inLost-$52.721449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Al Kholood Saudi Club46c199.99$92 inLost-$91.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5362…d242backed Al Ahli Saudi Club49c142.86$70 inWon+$72.863828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Al Kholood Saudi Club13c100$13 inLost-$12.641,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club55c100$55 inWon+$454445.5%20 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club53c67$36 inWon+$31.4914351.7%74 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Al Ahli Saudi Club73c60$44 inWon+$16.213655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Al Kholood Saudi Club27c60$16 inLost-$16.27844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Al Ahli Saudi Club53c60$32 inWon+$28.23351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Al Ahli Saudi Club76c50$38 inWon+$12.0932457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.