Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8a8975a2fbfeab75e8119233a0b9691f42fde53b7a00220a7756374ea5bddfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Over | 51c | 3,764$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 47c | 3,580$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.5 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 59c | 3,415$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.68 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 53c | 3,148$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 54c | 1,442$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 58c | 1,375$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.18 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 1,365$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 58c | 1,277$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.04 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 46c | 1,073$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 734.58$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.11 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 35c | 605.8$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.67 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 38c | 491.05$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.25 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 359.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 65c | 300.51$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 24c | 285.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…41e9backed Over | 53c | 262.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 60c | 145.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 101.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 55c | 94.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 46c | 91.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Under | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 77c | 43.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…f14dbacked Over | 40c | 40.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Over | 43c | 40.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 47c | 34.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 51c | 28.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 55c | 24.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 55c | 24.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 47c | 21.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 55c | 20.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.