Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Majchrzak vs Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9455028c9c412e5930df0c70f8f5fb5e3764871a4abd7b2487b4c672934707f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Majchrzakof Majchrzak, Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Paul | 60c | 332.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Paul | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Majchrzak | 39c | 283.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Majchrzak | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Majchrzak | 40c | 262.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Majchrzak | 79c | 248.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Paul | 17c | 247.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Paul | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Paul | 52c | 170.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…14a9backed Paul | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…3007backed Majchrzak | 42c | 93.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Majchrzak | 51c | 71.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Majchrzak | 29c | 70.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Paul | 51c | 57.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Paul | 24c | 51.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…1323backed Majchrzak | 60c | 34.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…456cbacked Majchrzak | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…e2f6backed Paul | 72c | 14.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Majchrzak vs Paulthis page
- Kamil Majchrzak vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Majchrzak vs. Paul: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Majchrzak vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy PaulKamil Majchrzak won
- Set 1 Winner: Majchrzak vs PaulMajchrzak won
- Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)Majchrzak won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.