TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c8,666$4,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,593.8698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked No46c7,839$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,239.17850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes61c5,907$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6003647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No48c5,082$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.8947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes61c4,942$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.811323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No50c4,611$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.561471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+70.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No39c4,459$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.971361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc213…99eabacked Yes63c3,556$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8602763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb63…7fb5backed Yes51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No50c2,042$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.6313049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes60c1,751$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.37728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Yes50c1,595$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No47c1,594$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.2446644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed No42c1,515$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.81643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.969336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No39c1,167$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.2713551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c1,091$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.1943748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No38c1,051$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.15560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+72.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.991650%8 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No38c984.85$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.2513243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+206.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No50c887.97$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked No46c804.35$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No41c700$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4134341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No40c659$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick38cpaid+118.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes62c559.16$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0711940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No40c546.88$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Yes50c508.04$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.021020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45bd…ddc3backed Yes60c500.85$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No39c499.97$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.983745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes54c476.1$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.332832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Yes57c466.34$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b45…e3febacked Yes55c455.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes24c426.35$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.946823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4281…a56fbacked Yes37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…1376backed Yes45c353.33$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2a…be94backed Yes60c333.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No37c331.35$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.752445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No38c329.78$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1410837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes57c298.25$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes50c295.6$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x797f…8084backed Yes54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No40c268.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No38c265$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.353256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Yes61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed No54c235.91$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe997…88aabacked Yes51c215.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes63c206.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes43c202.04$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864626.1%12 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes51c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…cdb7backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes62c193$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.731172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd16b…e341backed No38c189.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes51c178.94$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.261855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes48c177.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes45c167.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.715933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes64c156.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1c…44fbbacked Yes56c153.74$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes42c153.21$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.021526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed No36c135.18$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes38c132.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes49c127.72$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.163354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No43c126.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.271735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes62c119.94$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.363237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Yes60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes34c112.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9515140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes54c111$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.711656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Yes56c107.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No39c104.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8332453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd027…cc86backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6df…e2aabacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed Yes51c98.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No40c97.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4511057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes22c92.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b81…4679backed Yes55c91.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8f…e299backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+151.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf61c…9ad2backed No45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No45c88.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9412532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8638…4c31backed Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes61c84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.241060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No39c81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.412245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No38c81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.226147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes62c81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.225853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes50c79.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.34911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-70%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.