Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e522c9101e5f1e3028443a4d66957f6373428a209ddb0078c7e8acfe8f37b95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 14c | 6,940$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 3,331$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.16 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 17c | 1,141$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Yes | 18c | 776$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 12c | 596.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 587$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 575$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e8…21e3backed Yes | 17c | 539.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 315$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6970…1448backed Yes | 21c | 241.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 15c | 184.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 7c | 162.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 13c | 158.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 20c | 152.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 17c | 141.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 127.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 22c | 115.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked Yes | 16c | 98.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…5aa6backed Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.