TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7d2…5aa6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$27.06
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.87
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.41
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.1
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.46
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.76
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-77.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+79.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodarbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.8
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.76
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+300%+$39.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.