Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18cc40c9a28474701928ac7b4346f7663e38aea67cec13e8df6cc84bf29d7ebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes | 50c | 36,732$18,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,379.56 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 6c | 33,569$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.96 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 28,700$14,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,349.93 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 4c | 11,530$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.2 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed No | 49c | 9,892$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,846.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 5,705$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.2 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.9 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 8c | 2,611$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.62 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 51c | 2,559$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.7 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked No | 48c | 2,001$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.06 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed No | 47c | 1,936$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.11 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 49c | 1,273$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 10c | 1,216$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 14c | 1,095$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.74 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,066$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.85 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked No | 50c | 997.75$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 55c | 917.3$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.82 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked No | 47c | 809.65$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 51c | 761.26$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.02 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 54c | 729.3$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.82 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 659$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.73 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 56c | 645.73$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.19 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 52c | 574$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.21 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked No | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 50c | 545.04$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.83 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 13c | 538.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 43c | 528$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 9c | 499.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 52c | 490.38$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.38 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…0d29backed Yes | 51c | 409.59$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…1852backed No | 6c | 363.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 66c | 335.14$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 49c | 332$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 55c | 323.12$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.69 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed No | 6c | 320.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 7c | 271.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 51c | 268.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.01 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 249.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed No | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 51c | 186.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Yes | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 16c | 176.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 55c | 171.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 76c | 165.83$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 55c | 152.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes | 67c | 151.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 52c | 147.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 146.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 55c | 146.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 12c | 136.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 50c | 125.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 49c | 109.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…36febacked Yes | 50c | 97.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 96.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed No | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 50c | 91.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 50c | 90.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…5aa6backed No | 12c | 86.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 50c | 72.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 74c | 64.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 47c | 62.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Yes | 51c | 62.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 56c | 60.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes | 77c | 60.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 50c | 54.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 73 | 78.1%57 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 34c | 48.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 50c | 46.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 49c | 43.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4493…4841backed Yes | 51c | 42.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…bdfcbacked Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed No | 49c | 34.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 73c | 34.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 50c | 27.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 50c | 27.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 26.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 76c | 24.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 50c | 23.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 70c | 21.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…40cfbacked No | 51c | 20.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 59c | 18.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf end in a draw?No won
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.