Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1b5fa14fba265463bee955b4cbdacdbeb76c7487df23bde88460907995f844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14f6…38cebacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,877$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 2,729$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.87 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 18c | 1,063$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 902.94$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.42 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 578.54$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.6 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 77c | 573.78$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 472.98$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 12c | 315.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 295.24$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 4c | 254.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 250.07$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 25c | 199.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 154.87$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 70c | 145.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 145.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 142$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 73c | 124$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 27c | 119$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 76c | 99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 76c | 88.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 24c | 84.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 74c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Yes | 25c | 49.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…5aa6backed Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 76c | 37.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 76c | 36.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 76c | 14.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw?No won
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-04-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.