Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x403f7711370bd3a7eda537d9bc2a4d6c7923773b8eb7efb49eb8fae335436998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,431$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 27c | 5,484$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.7 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 29c | 3,352$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.61 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 2,798$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.67 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,397$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.77 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,970$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.23 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 1,939$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.43 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 1,927$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 62c | 1,877$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.79 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 8c | 1,142$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 73c | 1,071$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.39 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 73c | 1,071$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.39 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 31c | 1,013$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.81 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 30c | 917.28$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.18 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 828.62$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.73 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 73c | 786.8$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.37 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 623.86$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 27c | 592.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 28c | 526.44$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 412$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 393.46$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 73c | 357.97$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 247.77$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 214.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 72c | 214.19$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 209.47$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked No | 73c | 202.15$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…d26ebacked Yes | 27c | 190$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 73c | 179.54$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 151.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebc…e384backed Yes | 27c | 146$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 73c | 144.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 19c | 116$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yes | 26c | 103.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 73c | 94.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 11c | 90.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed No | 73c | 89.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 83.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 72c | 83.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 73c | 81.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 16c | 72.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 27c | 70.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 28c | 66.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 64.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 58.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 72c | 58.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 58.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 27c | 38.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed No | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 72cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 72c | 24.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed No | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 72c | 15.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 73c | 15.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 73c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…5aa6backed No | 73c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed No | 72c | 14.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 74c | 13.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.