MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe39812f8c7c264d97988aa1dcbccb32b9b852893d1b386608870ed19c4d6c28b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Kansas City Royals, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $608,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $626,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 245,059$97,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,723 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked New York Yankees | 60c | 153,754$92,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,920.56 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 65,472$40,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,879.51 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 55,555$21,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,110.82 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed New York Yankees | 59c | 45,062$26,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,471.19 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 32,260$12,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,923.04 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees | 60c | 27,352$16,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,881.95 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 17,688$11,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,143.37 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 14,714$5,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,591.33 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 12,351$4,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…972fbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 11,320$6,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 9,545$5,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,657.32 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 62c | 9,000$5,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 7,750$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.43 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Yankees | 62c | 7,102$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.12 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 67c | 7,058$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 6,587$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.9 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed New York Yankees | 62c | 5,961$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.75 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 5,958$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.03 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 78c | 5,299$4,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.12 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked New York Yankees | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.98 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New York Yankees | 62c | 4,895$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.15 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 68c | 4,380$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Kansas City Royals | 15c | 3,523$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.24 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 61c | 3,278$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.42 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 3,218$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.93 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Yankees | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed New York Yankees | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed New York Yankees | 60c | 2,707$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.26 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked New York Yankees | 75c | 2,633$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.28 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 2,588$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.33 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecd…cc68backed New York Yankees | 80c | 2,494$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed New York Yankees | 80c | 2,480$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.93 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 2,364$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed New York Yankees | 60c | 2,330$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.69 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Yankees | 61c | 2,275$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.25 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Yankees | 62c | 2,270$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.34 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 2,229$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.25 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…18f3backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 2,155$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 2,132$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.25 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals | 27c | 2,068$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed New York Yankees | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Kansas City Royals | 13c | 1,908$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 24c | 1,815$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.55 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed New York Yankees | 78c | 1,802$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.74 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 1,780$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.61 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed New York Yankees | 65c | 1,723$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.27 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,624$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.36 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked New York Yankees | 75c | 1,558$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.55 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 29c | 1,534$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.61 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,528$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.14 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 1,373$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.5 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…1f15backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,371$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.87 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,204$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.74 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Yankees | 66c | 1,186$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.1 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,141$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.25 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,132$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.02 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,100$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.49 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,073$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.81 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,060$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 1,058$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.55 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed New York Yankees | 61c | 1,055$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.38 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,012$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.51 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked New York Yankees | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 995.46$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.18 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 988.1$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.36 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 977.2$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.34 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 973.19$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.09 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed New York Yankees | 61c | 956.29$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.64 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 22c | 926.3$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.31 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed New York Yankees | 64c | 914.82$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.39 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed New York Yankees | 60c | 879.31$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.72 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees | 59c | 870.57$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.6 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 831.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked New York Yankees | 61c | 820.4$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.12 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas City Royals | 18c | 818.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 753.49$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.62 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 746.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.31 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Yankees | 61c | 716.63$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 714.84$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.78 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed New York Yankees | 61c | 702.6$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.01 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Kansas City Royals | 13c | 700$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 654.64$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.23 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed New York Yankees | 62c | 645$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…4679backed New York Yankees | 63c | 644.1$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees | 70c | 636.53$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.68 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed New York Yankees | 62c | 630.45$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.57 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 626.88$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.96 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 623.26$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…39b4backed New York Yankees | 63c | 620.83$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 617.56$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.85 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 617.56$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.85 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 609.4$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.26 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New York Yankees | 61c | 595.19$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.12 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 584.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 579.49$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.55 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kansas City Royals | 22c | 577$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.