TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under53c11,892$6,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,589.2855053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over47c11,777$5,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,535.281,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Under54c5,834$3,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.8251756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Over45c5,386$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.331040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under56c5,375$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.6728350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over44c4,349$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.4712551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Over41c3,842$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.5248850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under55c3,185$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.911,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c3,091$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4221,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under55c2,791$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.821,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under53c2,687$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.1636649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c2,534$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.385,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over45c2,098$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.842,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c2,051$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.5512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over44c1,820$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.791,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over48c1,705$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.821,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Over45c1,337$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.816749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Over44c1,180$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.23441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under61c1,061$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.632,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Under55c984$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.87852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over47c968.2$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.0544451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over48c817.81$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.2856851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c790.31$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.181,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over46c758.9$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.3119248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under54c676.97$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.461,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under55c556.56$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.451,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Under55c542.47$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.117750.6%39 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over44c526.58$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3967849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Under57c509.01$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.672853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under62c439.59$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.771,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under62c439.59$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.771,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over45c430.32$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6472648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c382.42$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.176,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under58c337.43$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2541847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Under58c336.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1832157%183 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under74c257.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.851,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under51c245.07$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0845246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over45c209$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3228352.3%148 W · 135 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over49c207.73$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7922248.6%108 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over49c199.82$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.911,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under57c197.75$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2992054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under56c196.82$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3115858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2594648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over28c189.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.034,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under51c176.2$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.348360.2%50 W · 33 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under56c175$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7777050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.565248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c172.87$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.711,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under57c171.74$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3324950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4916453%87 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5913461.9%83 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under80c148.24$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7367742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x435a…21a5backed Over49c125.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.392540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509444.7%42 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b8…8924backed Over45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.357251.4%37 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Over45c104.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under56c95.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under52c91.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.822969%20 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+32.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under54c90.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.649649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.251,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under76c64.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5652449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under51c63.49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1122949.8%114 W · 115 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over46c61.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5123248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c56.76$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.542,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649b…a1d6backed Under51c56.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under53c55.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2119248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Over49c51.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.189448.9%46 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Over49c49.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2413144.3%58 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.318752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3115552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3112250.8%62 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under52c46.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1721153.6%113 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over28c44.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.521,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over47c43.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.718553.5%99 W · 86 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Over45c43.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5822650.4%114 W · 112 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over45c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.925249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over44c40.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9833547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under52c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.834856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9221…9419backed Under52c35.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.818751.7%45 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over44c31.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.991,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over45c30.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6327345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over44c28.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.482,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under58c26.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.055054%27 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over45c26.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7518751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Under56c26.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4711855.9%66 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Under51c24.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.176753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under56c24.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6665359.6%389 W · 264 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over42c24.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.119,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under62c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1439351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Over50c23.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.897044.3%31 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under51c23.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.431,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Under51c23.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.437252.8%38 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aec…b968backed Under56c19.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…45b4backed Under56c19.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under54c19.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under71c17.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0166749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.