MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x334e4f96a05929fd8ee52e04157bb75ee40d40b4796db28a31c571e9e98f5d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 3,223$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.83 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,764$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,670$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.8 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 970.28$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.93 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Yankees | 53c | 859.12$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.69 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 666.77$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.39 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 504.85$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees | 76c | 488.33$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 421.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 402.63$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 317.59$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 208.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed New York Yankees | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed New York Yankees | 44c | 181.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 170.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Yankees | 44c | 136.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 129.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed New York Yankees | 42c | 115.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed New York Yankees | 48c | 101.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 95.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 95.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 88.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 83.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 74.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 72.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 71.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 43c | 54.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked New York Yankees | 77c | 51.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 47.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 46.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed New York Yankees | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 42.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 41.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 36.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 34.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 32.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 32.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 32.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 32.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed New York Yankees | 43c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed New York Yankees | 44c | 29.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…61d6backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 27.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 26.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…a199backed New York Yankees | 45c | 26.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…f873backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 26.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 24.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…a264backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 21.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 20.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.